Match Info

LITHUANIA: NKL - LOSERS STAGE

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Kretinga sports and wellness center (Kretinga)


	Kretinga		Kauno Atletas

	1	2
	1.95	1.75
			Watch
	1.93	1.88
	1.91	1.8
	1.91	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.89)	1.81 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 154.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kretinga
48.5%

Kauno Atletas
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kretinga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Kauno Atletas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kretinga than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kauno Atletas than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Kretinga - Kauno Atletas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:78

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Preview

Recent matches Kretinga is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kauno Atletas is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kretinga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Kauno Atletas have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kretinga won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 404-366.

Including matches at home between the teams Kretinga won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 235-219.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Kretinga
Lietuvos NKL
06.01.24	Sūduva - Kretinga	101:72 ✺
04.01.24	Kretinga - Jurbarkas-Karys	89:82 ✺
23.12.23	Kauno Atletas - Kretinga	78:85 ✺
21.12.23	Kretinga - Telšiai	67:95 ✺
16.12.23	Kretinga - Vilniaus Stekas	75:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWLL
- Kauno Atletas
Lietuvos NKL
18.01.24	Kauno Atletas - Neptūnas	77:82 ✺
09.01.24	Kauno Atletas - Delikatesas Joniškis	83:62 ✺
06.01.24	Neptūnas - Kauno Atletas	69:68 ✺
04.01.24	Kauno Atletas - Sūduva	78:86 ✺
23.12.23	Kauno Atletas - Kretinga	78:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
23.12.23	Kauno Atletas - Kretinga	78:85
04.11.23	Kretinga - Kauno Atletas	84:73
17.12.22	Kretinga - Kauno Atletas	77:78
22.10.22	Kauno Atletas - Kretinga	69:84
21.12.21	Kretinga - Kauno Atletas	74:68

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