Match Info

NKL

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Kretinga sports and wellness center (Kretinga)


	Kretinga		Mažeikiai

	1	2
	1.99	1.69
	1.99	1.71	Watch
	2.05	1.62
	1.83	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.05)	1.71 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kretinga
46.6%

Mažeikiai
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kretinga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Mažeikiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kretinga than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (+4%)

Kretinga - Mažeikiai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Danys E.	31. Gadiliauskas R.
22. Kazakauskas J.	13. Karasov P.
5. Staniulis M.	5. Marquett Epps D.
55. Warren J.	1. Mokseckas G. (C)
13. Zabita R. (C)	7. Stropus J.
Substitutes
10. Brazauskas A.	2. Juodis G.
9. Kazlauskas D.	15. Mickus A.
14. Macionis G.	12. Motuzas M.
8. Rudys T.	14. Narusevicius E.
24. Tamulis A.	4. Young C. K.
7. Ziubrys J.
Coaches
. Mikalocius A.	. Kiltinavicius M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kretinga won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kretinga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 376:491. (average 62.7:81.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Kretinga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 192:231. (average 64:77).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Kretinga
Lietuvos NKL
25.10.25	Kretinga - Sūduva	76:92 ✺
18.10.25	Šilutė - Kretinga	88:96 ✺
16.10.25	Kretinga - Jurbarkas-Karys	65:81 ✺
11.10.25	Kėdainiai - Kretinga	99:88 ✺
09.10.25	Kretinga - Alytaus Alytus	106:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLW
- BC Mažeikiai
Lietuvos NKL
23.10.25	Mažeikiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	92:61 ✺
18.10.25	Vilniaus Stekas - Mažeikiai	88:82 ✺
16.10.25	Mažeikiai - Perlas Vilkaviškis	91:85 ✺
11.10.25	Mažeikiai - Omega Tauras	62:92 ✺
09.10.25	Telšiai - Mažeikiai	93:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
07.01.23	Kretinga - Mažeikiai	63:77
05.11.22	Mažeikiai - Kretinga	86:82
12.03.22	Mažeikiai - Kretinga	101:47
27.01.22	Kretinga - Mažeikiai	52:81
25.11.21	Mažeikiai - Kretinga	73:55
28.10.21	Kretinga - Mažeikiai	77:73

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