Match Info

Korisliiga

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: Luhta Arena (Lahti)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Lahti Basketball		Joensuun Kataja

	1	2
	2.40	1.48
	2.43	1.53
	2.57	1.51
	2.43	1.5
	2.50	1.49
	2.53	1.49
	2.48	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.1)	1.5 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lahti Basketball
37.8%

Joensuun Kataja
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lahti Basketball has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lahti Basketball's form might have worsened.

Joensuun Kataja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joensuun Kataja's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Lahti Basketball - Joensuun Kataja Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Lahti will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Joensuun Kataja will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Joensuun Kataja (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5, 1st Half - Joensuun Kataja (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Joensuun Kataja (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:88

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Korhonen R.	7. Harris J.
7. Luukkonen E. (C)	31. Palmi T. (C)
10. Nyman V.	3. Springs R.
12. Threadgill J.	2. Strong S.
4. Williams D.	5. Timonen J.
Substitutes
33. Barr J.	13. Aropelto A.
16. Kaivos J.	21. Knihtinen T.
95. Peltonen K.	4. Lake J.
2. Yli-Junnila T.	1. Ronnholm T.
	10. Suokas T.
Coaches
. Turunen T.	. Virtanen P.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lahti won 3.

Joensuun Kataja may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Lahti has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1509:1568 (averaging 83.8:87.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lahti against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 770:786 goals (averaging 85.6:87.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
4	Kataja	3	2	1	273:245	4
9	Lahti Basketball	2	1	1	161:161	2

Last Results with these Odds

Joensuun Kataja - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.87%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lahti Basketball
Finnish Korisliiga
02.10.26	Helsinki Seagulls - Lahti Basketball	76:70 ✺
Finnish Cup Basketball
19.09.26	Lahti Basketball - Joensuun Kataja	73:77 ✺
15.09.26	Helsinki Seagulls - Lahti Basketball	85:80 ✺
Finnish Korisliiga
18.03.26	Lahti Basketball - Bisons Loimaa	89:92 ✺
14.03.26	Korikobrat - Lahti Basketball	101:100 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Joensuun Kataja
Finnish Korisliiga
03.10.26	Bisons Loimaa - Joensuun Kataja	70:86 ✺
29.09.26	Joensuun Kataja - Helsinki Seagulls	102:83 ✺
Finnish Cup Basketball
19.09.26	Lahti Basketball - Joensuun Kataja	73:77 ✺
09.09.26	Joensuun Kataja - Helsinki Seagulls	85:93 ✺
Finnish Korisliiga
19.05.26	Salon Vilpas - Joensuun Kataja	100:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Cup Basketball
19.09.26	Lahti Basketball - Joensuun Kataja	73:77
Finnish Korisliiga
11.02.26	Lahti Basketball - Joensuun Kataja	94:90
04.02.26	Joensuun Kataja - Lahti Basketball	82:89
24.01.26	Lahti Basketball - Joensuun Kataja	107:86
22.11.25	Joensuun Kataja - Lahti Basketball	107:93
03.02.24	Joensuun Kataja - Lahti Basketball	110:68
29.11.23	Lahti Basketball - Joensuun Kataja	96:103

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