Match Info

WNBA

Date: 25 June 2026, Thursday

Location: Michelob Ultra Arena (Las Vegas, NV)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	ABC, CBS
World	NBA Global League Pass


	Las Vegas Aces		Dallas Wings

	1	2
	1.37	3.00	Watch
	1.40	3.05
	1.43	2.88
	1.42	3.05
	1.42	2.76	Watch
	1.39	3.00	Watch
	1.42	2.95
	1.43	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.61)	2.94 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 178.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Vegas Aces
67.6%

Dallas Wings
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Vegas Aces has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Las Vegas Aces's performance.

Dallas Wings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dallas Wings might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Vegas Aces than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Las Vegas Aces that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dallas Wings than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dallas Wings could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Las Vegas Aces - Dallas Wings Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Las Vegas will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Dallas will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dallas: 31.2% – 83%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dallas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 92:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Young J.	34. Kuier A.
22. Wilson A.	24. Ogunbowale A.
3. Smith N.	32. Shepard J.
7. Talbot S.	35. Fudd A.
12. Gray C.	5. Bueckers P.
Substitutes
1. Bell K.	7. Clark A.
24. Loyd J.	10. James A.
32. Parker-Tyus C.	20. Siegrist M.
21. Turner B.	0. Sutton S.
	28. Yueru Li
Coaches
. Hammon B.	. Fernandez J.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Las Vegas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1833:1697. (average 91.7:84.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Las Vegas won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 889:758. (average 98.8:84.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Las Vegas Aces - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 59.08%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Dallas Wings - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.92%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Las Vegas Aces
WNBA
23.06.26	Las Vegas Aces - New York Liberty	76:87 ✺
21.06.26	Las Vegas Aces - Golden State Valkyries	92:73 ✺
17.06.26	Phoenix Mercury - Las Vegas Aces	76:86 ✺
15.06.26	Dallas Wings - Las Vegas Aces	96:66 ✺
13.06.26	Las Vegas Aces - Minnesota Lynx	100:97 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWLW
- Dallas Wings
WNBA
22.06.26	Seattle Storm - Dallas Wings	110:112 AET ✺
20.06.26	Dallas Wings - Chicago Sky	93:92 ✺
17.06.26	Golden State Valkyries - Dallas Wings	91:80 ✺
15.06.26	Dallas Wings - Las Vegas Aces	96:66 ✺
13.06.26	Portland Fire - Dallas Wings	84:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

WNBA
15.06.26	Dallas Wings - Las Vegas Aces	96:66
28.05.26	Dallas Wings - Las Vegas Aces	95:87
03.05.26	Dallas Wings - Las Vegas Aces	101:84
17.08.25	Las Vegas Aces - Dallas Wings	106:87
27.07.25	Dallas Wings - Las Vegas Aces	80:106
16.07.25	Dallas Wings - Las Vegas Aces	86:90
13.06.25	Las Vegas Aces - Dallas Wings	88:84

Las Vegas Aces - Dallas Wings: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide