Match Info

WNBA

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Michelob Ultra Arena (Las Vegas, NV)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network


	Las Vegas Aces		Minnesota Lynx

	1	2
	2.10	1.70	Watch
	2.15	1.73
	2.12	1.74
	2.14	1.77
	2.04	1.74	Watch
	2.09	1.74
	2.17	1.72
	2.08	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.94)	1.74 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 182.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Vegas Aces
45.1%

Minnesota Lynx
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Vegas Aces has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Minnesota Lynx has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Aces than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Las Vegas Aces, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota Lynx than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Minnesota Lynx, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Las Vegas Aces - Minnesota Lynx Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Minnesota Lynx will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:92

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Talbot S.	5. Miles O.
3. Smith N.	1. Howard N.
22. Wilson A.	24. Collier N.
12. Gray C.	21. McBride K.
0. Young J.	10. Williams C.
Coaches
. Hammon B.	. Reeve C.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 2.

In recent matches, Las Vegas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Minnesota is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Las Vegas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Minnesota has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1727:1761. (average 86.4:88.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Las Vegas won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 973:968. (average 88.5:88).

Outrights of WNBA for now

Las Vegas Aces W: 10.2%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Las Vegas Aces
WNBA
13.08.26	Las Vegas Aces - Washington Mystics	83:76 ✺
11.08.26	Las Vegas Aces - Washington Mystics	86:76 ✺
09.08.26	New York Liberty - Las Vegas Aces	111:71 ✺
08.08.26	Minnesota Lynx - Las Vegas Aces	98:87 ✺
06.08.26	Indiana Fever - Las Vegas Aces	84:86 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLLW
- Minnesota Lynx
WNBA
12.08.26	Portland Fire - Minnesota Lynx	81:85 ✺
09.08.26	Minnesota Lynx - Dallas Wings	103:90 ✺
08.08.26	Minnesota Lynx - Las Vegas Aces	98:87 ✺
06.08.26	Minnesota Lynx - Los Angeles Sparks	82:89 ✺
02.08.26	Minnesota Lynx - Indiana Fever	108:100 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WNBA
08.08.26	Minnesota Lynx - Las Vegas Aces	98:87
13.06.26	Las Vegas Aces - Minnesota Lynx	100:97
04.09.25	Las Vegas Aces - Minnesota Lynx	97:87
02.08.25	Las Vegas Aces - Minnesota Lynx	58:111
25.07.25	Minnesota Lynx - Las Vegas Aces	109:78
17.06.25	Minnesota Lynx - Las Vegas Aces	76:62
23.08.24	Minnesota Lynx - Las Vegas Aces	87:74

Las Vegas Aces - Minnesota Lynx: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide