Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A2 - ROUND 15

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Latina		Rieti

	1	2
	2.9	1.36
	2.65	1.4
	2.65	1.39	Watch
	2.87	1.43
	2.87	1.43
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.68	1.42	Watch
	2.65	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.3)	1.41 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Latina
34%

Rieti
66%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Latina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Latina's form might have worsened.

Rieti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rieti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Latina than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Latina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rieti than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rieti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Latina - Rieti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:83

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Latina won 3.

Latina has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Rieti is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Rieti will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Latina won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 1092-1074.

Including matches at home between the teams Latina won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 651-590.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Latina Basket
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
10.12.23	Cantù - Latina	90:72 ✺
06.12.23	Juvi Cremona - Latina	90:76 ✺
02.12.23	Latina - Basket Torino	79:83 OT ✺
26.11.23	Fortitudo Agrigento - Latina	88:77 ✺
19.11.23	Latina - Basket Treviglio	90:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- NPC Rieti
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
10.12.23	Rieti - Basket Treviglio	85:76 ✺
06.12.23	Basket Torino - Rieti	86:84 ✺
03.12.23	Rieti - Fortitudo Agrigento	85:84 ✺
26.11.23	Trapani - Rieti	95:71 ✺
19.11.23	Rieti - Vigevano	80:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
15.10.23	Rieti - Latina	90:70
10.03.23	Latina - Rieti	71:54
27.11.22	Rieti - Latina	64:66
Italian Serie A2 Red Basketball
31.03.21	Latina - Rieti	91:72
27.12.20	Rieti - Latina	82:77
Italian LNP Gold Basketball
15.01.20	Latina - Rieti	72:74
30.10.19	Rieti - Latina	84:78

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