Match Info

LNB - Round 19

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Antares (Le Mans)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	DAZN France


	Le Mans		Dijon

	1	2
	1.26	3.6
	1.34	3.1
	1.26	3.7
	1.27	3.83
	1.26	3.68	Watch
	1.25	3.8
	1.27	3.92
	1.26	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.32)	3.64 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Le Mans
74.1%

Dijon
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.6%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Dijon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Le Mans that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dijon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Le Mans - Dijon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 93:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. DiLeo D.
1. Grasshoff B.
12. Hudgins T.
35. Thomas T.
3. Williams T.

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ LNB (Play~in: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ LNB (Play~in: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Mans won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Le Mans may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Le Mans is considered a favorite.

We predict that Le Mans will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Le Mans won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1676:1606. (average 83.8:80.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Le Mans won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 778:651. (average 86.4:72.3).

Outrights of French LNB for now

Le Mans: 3.73% Dijon: 2.06%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
1	Dijon	3	3	0	278:229	1.000
6	Le Mans	3	2	1	302:287	0.667

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Le Mans Sarthe Basket
Champions League Basketball
04.02.26	Le Mans - Rytas	78:72 ✺
French LNB
31.01.26	Strasbourg - Le Mans	103:96 ✺
Champions League Basketball
27.01.26	Hapoel Holon - Le Mans	85:106 ✺
French LNB
25.01.26	Le Mans - ASVEL Basket	88:91 ✺
Champions League Basketball
21.01.26	Galatasaray - Le Mans	83:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWLW
- JDA Dijon Basket
French LNB
01.02.26	Dijon - ASVEL Basket	99:90 ✺
24.01.26	Gravelines - Dijon	93:85 ✺
17.01.26	Dijon - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	94:91 ✺
10.01.26	Dijon - Nanterre	88:97 ✺
26.12.25	Boulazac - Dijon	79:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

French LNB
26.09.25	Dijon - Le Mans	89:91
22.03.25	Dijon - Le Mans	76:74
02.11.24	Le Mans - Dijon	98:71
11.05.24	Dijon - Le Mans	87:77
French Cup Basketball
13.02.24	Le Mans - Dijon	80:85
French LNB
23.12.23	Le Mans - Dijon	76:67
01.04.23	Le Mans - Dijon	96:81

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