Match Info

LNB - Round 18

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Rhénus Sport (Strasbourg)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	DAZN France


	Strasbourg		Le Mans

	1	2
	1.69	2.05	Watch
	1.82	1.95
	1.84	2
	1.79	1.98	Watch
	1.83	1.95
	1.84	2
	1.76	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.61)	1.98 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strasbourg
52.4%

Le Mans
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strasbourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Strasbourg's form might have worsened.

Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Le Mans's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Strasbourg - Le Mans Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5, OT - Le Mans (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 2 - 50%). Le Mans (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:87

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Lineups


44. Brown G.	0. Beracou T.
4. Davis M.	8. Berhanemeskel J.
12. Gregg B.	5. Bogues S.
1. Joseph N.	34. DiLeo D.
3. Keene M.	10. Doumbia U.
23. Maille J. (C)	32. Dufeal L.
98. Merlin E.	1. Grasshoff B.
11. N'Doye A.	12. Hudgins T.
5. Pfister W.	4. Simonovic D.
32. Traore F.	35. Thomas T. (C)
97. Wembanyama O.	3. Williams T.
Coaches
. Gailitis J.	. Vizade G.

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LNB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ LNB (Play~in: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 1.

Strasbourg is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Le Mans has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Strasbourg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Le Mans has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1589:1631. (average 79.5:81.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 726:739. (average 80.7:82.1).

Outrights of French LNB for now

Le Mans: 3.73% Strasbourg: 1.05%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
6	Le Mans	3	2	1	302:287	0.667
10	Strasbourg	3	1	2	243:254	0.333

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Strasbourg IG Basket
French LNB
23.01.26	Limoges - Strasbourg	82:86 ✺
17.01.26	Strasbourg - Gravelines	89:72 ✺
13.01.26	Paris - Strasbourg	96:67 ✺
10.01.26	JL Bourg-en-Bresse - Strasbourg	77:80 ✺
26.12.25	Strasbourg - Limoges	100:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWW
- Le Mans Sarthe Basket
Champions League Basketball
27.01.26	Hapoel Holon - Le Mans	85:106 ✺
French LNB
25.01.26	Le Mans - ASVEL Basket	88:91 ✺
Champions League Basketball
21.01.26	Galatasaray - Le Mans	83:90 ✺
French LNB
18.01.26	Paris - Le Mans	110:92 ✺
10.01.26	Boulazac - Le Mans	86:97 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French LNB
08.11.25	Le Mans - Strasbourg	72:84
19.04.25	Le Mans - Strasbourg	90:70
04.10.24	Strasbourg - Le Mans	88:95
24.04.24	Strasbourg - Le Mans	71:80
07.10.23	Le Mans - Strasbourg	86:78
21.01.23	Strasbourg - Le Mans	92:89
10.12.22	Le Mans - Strasbourg	74:78

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