Match Info

SLB

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: Mattioli Arena (Leicester)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Leicester Riders		Cheshire Phoenix

	1	2
	3.15	1.28
	3.73	1.22
	2.63	1.42	Watch
	3	1.33
	3.49	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (1.89)	1.3 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 184.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leicester Riders
28.9%

Cheshire Phoenix
71.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester Riders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leicester Riders's form might have worsened.

Cheshire Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cheshire Phoenix's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leicester Riders than the current prediction. (+22.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leicester Riders, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheshire Phoenix than the current prediction. (-22.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cheshire Phoenix, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Leicester Riders - Cheshire Phoenix Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 186.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:96

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Boardman-Raffet F.	23. Brenchley J.
3. Evee T.	11. Cameron T.
20. Johnson S. (C)	2. Diggins M.
41. Martin N.	3. Rideau L.
10. Sulaiman T.	99. White S. (C)
Substitutes
5. Akinsiku M.	9. Lindo D.
0. Curran O.	5. Policelli F.
12. Menzies A.	13. Robinson P.
25. Ndoukou V.	1. Wild G.
43. Wylie S.	24. Zona M.
Coaches
. Paternostro R.	. Thomas B.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leicester Riders won 4.

In recent matches, Leicester Riders has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cheshire Phoenix is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Cheshire Phoenix may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Cheshire Phoenix will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leicester Riders won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1823:1732. (average 91.2:86.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Leicester Riders won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 934:855. (average 93.4:85.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
4	Cheshire Phoenix	4	2	2	386:377	4
10	Leicester Riders	3	0	3	233:257	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester Riders
British Basketball League
07.03.26	Surrey 89ers - Leicester Riders	80:83 ✺
20.02.26	London Lions - Leicester Riders	95:78 ✺
08.02.26	Leicester Riders - Newcastle Eagles	102:100 ✺
30.01.26	Leicester Riders - Surrey 89ers	80:89 ✺
British Cup Basketball
23.01.26	Leicester Riders - Surrey 89ers	94:102 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLL
- Cheshire Phoenix
British Basketball League
08.03.26	Caledonia Gladiators - Cheshire Phoenix	80:114 ✺
06.03.26	Newcastle Eagles - Cheshire Phoenix	108:97 ✺
22.02.26	Cheshire Phoenix - Surrey 89ers	106:84 ✺
20.02.26	Bristol Flyers - Cheshire Phoenix	94:95 ✺
British Cup Basketball
15.02.26	Cheshire Phoenix - London Lions	84:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

British Basketball League
07.12.25	Cheshire Phoenix - Leicester Riders	88:89
British Basketball League Trophy
09.11.25	Cheshire Phoenix - Leicester Riders	98:78
British Basketball League
31.10.25	Leicester Riders - Cheshire Phoenix	95:93
20.04.25	Leicester Riders - Cheshire Phoenix	94:90
12.04.25	Cheshire Phoenix - Leicester Riders	78:91
13.02.25	Leicester Riders - Cheshire Phoenix	110:87
01.12.24	Cheshire Phoenix - Leicester Riders	86:88

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