Match Info

SLB - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: Mattioli Arena (Leicester)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Serbia	DAZN
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Sweden	DAZN
Taiwan	DAZN
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Ukraine	DAZN
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	Leicester Riders		Sheffield Sharks

	1	2
	1.76	1.88	Watch
	1.91	1.83
			Watch
	1.8	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.11)	1.85 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leicester Riders
50.4%

Sheffield Sharks
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leicester Riders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leicester Riders's performance.

Sheffield Sharks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sheffield Sharks might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester Riders than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leicester Riders that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheffield Sharks than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sheffield Sharks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Boardman-Raffet F. (C)	25. Alihodzic F.
3. Evee T.	24. Kern N.
1. Johnson K.	2. Nixon P.
12. Menzies A.	9. Ratinho J.
25. Ndoukou V.	1. Williams D.
Substitutes
8. Akinsiku M.	3. Chatman R.
5. Bledson X.	5. D'Amico T.
0. Curran O.	11. Glasgow R. (C)
9. Joiner M.	15. Ochereobia M.
43. Wylie S.	6. West R.
Coaches
. Paternostro R.	. Lyons A.

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leicester Riders won 3.

Recent performances by Leicester Riders have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sheffield Sharks's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Leicester Riders may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Leicester Riders will win today's game, with odds of 1.82.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leicester Riders won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1647:1651. (average 82.4:82.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Leicester Riders won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 871:824. (average 87.1:82.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
4	Sheffield Sharks	1	1	0	98:76	2
10	Leicester Riders	3	0	3	233:257	0

Last Results with these Odds

Sheffield Sharks - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.82%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leicester Riders
British Basketball League
26.04.26	Cheshire Phoenix - Leicester Riders	98:77 ✺
24.04.26	Newcastle Eagles - Leicester Riders	86:94 OT ✺
21.04.26	Leicester Riders - Sheffield Sharks	86:85 ✺
19.04.26	Sheffield Sharks - Leicester Riders	80:92 ✺
17.04.26	Leicester Riders - Manchester Basketball	98:101 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWWWL
- Sheffield Sharks
British Basketball League
26.04.26	Sheffield Sharks - Manchester Basketball	74:82 ✺
21.04.26	Leicester Riders - Sheffield Sharks	86:85 ✺
19.04.26	Sheffield Sharks - Leicester Riders	80:92 ✺
17.04.26	Newcastle Eagles - Sheffield Sharks	82:85 ✺
12.04.26	London Lions - Sheffield Sharks	81:60 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

British Basketball League
21.04.26	Leicester Riders - Sheffield Sharks	86:85
19.04.26	Sheffield Sharks - Leicester Riders	80:92
03.04.26	Sheffield Sharks - Leicester Riders	93:68
26.09.25	Leicester Riders - Sheffield Sharks	65:93
11.05.25	Leicester Riders - Sheffield Sharks	97:77 OT
09.05.25	Sheffield Sharks - Leicester Riders	85:75
11.04.25	Leicester Riders - Sheffield Sharks	100:95 OT

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