Match Info

BNXT League - Round 14

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Sportcomplex 1574 (Leiden)


	Leiden		Dukes Unlimited Den Bosch

	1	2
	1.36	2.75	Watch
	1.42	2.63	Watch
	1.4	2.88
	1.4	2.73
	1.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 (1.4)	2.75 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Leiden
66.3%

Dukes Unlimited Den Bosch
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Dukes Unlimited Den Bosch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiden than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dukes Unlimited Den Bosch than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Leiden - Dukes Unlimited Den Bosch Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dukes UDB (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5, OT - Dukes UDB (2.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dukes UDB (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:82

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Huurman S.	21. Dijkstra M.
17. Kruithof L. (C)	0. Mikalauskas A.
0. Mc Collum J.	20. van Bree L. (C)
28. Roberts N.	2. van Vliet B.
5. Scott-Grayson T.	24. Walton K.
Substitutes
4. Luykx S.	25. Karel S.
2. Maconda D.	13. Koehler T.
1. Savior M.	90. Mukiisa A.
12. Sicking J.	18. Van de Rijdt M.
9. van den Elzen S.	26. Veinot K.
11. Van Zeil L.	35. Withers J.
Coaches
. Spradley R. D.	. Braal E.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiden won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Dukes UDB may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Leiden will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leiden won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1496:1518. (average 74.8:75.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Leiden won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 787:740. (average 78.7:74).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zorg en Zekerheid Leiden
BNXT League
23.12.25	Landstede - Leiden	81:90 ✺
20.12.25	Leiden - Leuven Bears	90:72 ✺
12.12.25	Brussels - Leiden	97:80 ✺
06.12.25	Leiden - Belfius Mons-Hainaut	107:89 ✺
21.11.25	Kortrijk Spurs - Leiden	82:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLWL
- Dukes Unlimited Den Bosch
BNXT League
23.12.25	Dukes Unlimited Den Bosch - Donar Groningen	87:88 ✺
19.12.25	Belfius Mons-Hainaut - Dukes Unlimited Den Bosch	88:93 ✺
14.12.25	Dukes Unlimited Den Bosch - Okapi Aalstar	98:76 ✺
06.12.25	Oostende - Dukes Unlimited Den Bosch	97:81 ✺
21.11.25	Dukes Unlimited Den Bosch - BAL Weert	97:60 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch DBL
05.06.25	Dukes Unlimited Den Bosch - Leiden	86:67
03.06.25	Leiden - Dukes Unlimited Den Bosch	63:90
01.06.25	Dukes Unlimited Den Bosch - Leiden	85:72
BNXT League
15.02.25	Leiden - Dukes Unlimited Den Bosch	95:81
26.12.24	Dukes Unlimited Den Bosch - Leiden	69:73
Dutch Supercup Basketball
11.09.24	Leiden - Dukes Unlimited Den Bosch	87:58
Dutch DBL
04.06.24	Leiden - Dukes Unlimited Den Bosch	92:81

Upcoming Matches