Match Info

BNXT League - Round 12

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Sportcomplex 1574 (Leiden)


	Leiden		Leuven Bears

	1	2
	1.18	4	Watch
	1.13	4.2
	1.21	3.86	Watch
	1.22	4
	1.23	3.74
	1.2	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.33)	4 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiden
77%

Leuven Bears
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leiden's performance.

Leuven Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leuven Bears might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiden than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leiden that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leuven Bears than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leuven Bears could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leiden - Leuven Bears Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +10.5, OT - Leuven Bears (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Leuven Bears (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Huurman S.	32. Anderson T.
17. Kruithof L.	11. Bucumi R.
0. Mc Collum J.	4. Mukubu W. (C)
10. Schaftenaar R. (C)	2. Pruitt W.
5. Scott-Grayson T.	3. Talford K.
Substitutes
4. Luykx S.	1. Blackmon J.
2. Maconda D.	7. De Mol G.
28. Roberts N.	14. Rogiers R.
1. Savior M.	15. Saevels K.
12. Sicking J.	17. Schauvlieger S.
9. van den Elzen S.	6. Vanderstraeten V.
11. Van Zeil L.	9. Vercruysse J.
Coaches
. Spradley R. D.	. Michiels K.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiden won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Leuven Bears may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Leiden is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Leiden won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 442:468. (average 73.7:78).

Including home matches between the teams, Leiden won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 254:202. (average 84.7:67.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zorg en Zekerheid Leiden
BNXT League
12.12.25	Brussels - Leiden	97:80 ✺
06.12.25	Leiden - Belfius Mons-Hainaut	107:89 ✺
21.11.25	Kortrijk Spurs - Leiden	82:76 ✺
15.11.25	Leiden - Oostende	98:90 ✺
08.11.25	Leiden - Donar Groningen	101:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWW
- Leuven Bears
BNXT League
13.12.25	Leuven Bears - Oostende	76:80 ✺
06.12.25	Leuven Bears - Den Helder Suns	84:71 ✺
Belgian Cup Basketball
19.11.25	Leuven Bears - Belfius Mons-Hainaut	104:93 OT ✺
BNXT League
15.11.25	Kangoeroes Mechelen - Leuven Bears	57:81 ✺
11.11.25	Donar Groningen - Leuven Bears	82:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

BNXT League
29.03.25	Leuven Bears - Leiden	98:63
28.09.24	Leiden - Leuven Bears	78:77
03.06.22	Leiden - Leuven Bears	81:59
01.06.22	Leuven Bears - Leiden	82:68
23.04.22	Leuven Bears - Leiden	86:57
19.03.22	Leiden - Leuven Bears	95:66

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