Match Info

NCAA

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Louisiana Tech Bulldogs		Missouri State Bears

	1	2
	1.86	1.86
	1.8	1.92
	1.88	1.97
	1.83	1.89	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.8	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.78)	1.93 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 134.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
51.4%

Missouri State Bears
48.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.3%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Missouri State Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisiana Tech Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Louisiana Tech Bulldogs that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Missouri State Bears than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Missouri State Bears could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs - Missouri State Bears Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 68:66

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Preview

Louisiana Tech is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Missouri State's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Missouri State may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Louisiana Tech won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 151:148. (average 75.5:74).

Including home match between the teams, Louisiana Tech won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 72:70.

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

Louisiana Tech: 0.22% Missouri State: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Louisiana Tech Bulldogs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
12.03.26	Louisiana Tech Bulldogs - Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	80:69 ✺
07.03.26	Delaware Fightin Blue Hens - Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	38:81 ✺
05.03.26	Liberty Flames - Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	71:76 ✺
28.02.26	Louisiana Tech Bulldogs - Florida International Golden Panthers	76:84 ✺
26.02.26	Louisiana Tech Bulldogs - Missouri State Bears	72:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWWLW
- Missouri State Bears basketball
NCAA College Basketball
11.03.26	Liberty Flames - Missouri State Bears	69:77 ✺
10.03.26	Florida International Golden Panthers - Missouri State Bears	72:75 ✺
07.03.26	Missouri State Bears - Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	63:75 ✺
05.03.26	Missouri State Bears - Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	87:74 ✺
28.02.26	Sam Houston State Bearkats - Missouri State Bears	86:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
26.02.26	Louisiana Tech Bulldogs - Missouri State Bears	72:70
12.02.26	Missouri State Bears - Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	78:79 OT

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs - Missouri State Bears