Match Info

NCAA

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday


	Missouri State Bears		Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

	1	2
	1.86	1.86
	1.86	1.86
	1.92	1.93
	1.95	1.77	Watch
	1.85	1.85
	2	1.73
	1.98	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (1.98)	1.83 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 150.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Missouri State Bears
48.8%

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Missouri State Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Missouri State Bears than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Kentucky Hilltoppers than the current prediction. (+4%)

Missouri State Bears - Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Missouri State (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:76

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Preview

Missouri State has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Western Kentucky is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Western Kentucky will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Missouri State won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 241:245. (average 80.3:81.7).

Including home match between the teams, Missouri State won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 84:78.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Missouri State Bears basketball
NCAA College Basketball
28.02.26	Sam Houston State Bearkats - Missouri State Bears	86:81 ✺
26.02.26	Louisiana Tech Bulldogs - Missouri State Bears	72:70 ✺
21.02.26	Florida International Golden Panthers - Missouri State Bears	70:67 ✺
18.02.26	Missouri State Bears - Kennesaw State Owls	87:91 ✺
14.02.26	Missouri State Bears - Delaware Fightin Blue Hens	67:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Western Kentucky Hilltoppers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
28.02.26	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers - UTEP Miners	97:65 ✺
26.02.26	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers - New Mexico State Aggies	93:70 ✺
21.02.26	Liberty Flames - Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	73:94 ✺
18.02.26	Delaware Fightin Blue Hens - Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	87:88 OT ✺
14.02.26	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers - Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	82:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
14.01.26	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers - Missouri State Bears	87:72
05.12.18	Missouri State Bears - Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	84:78
10.11.17	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers - Missouri State Bears	80:85

Missouri State Bears - Western Kentucky Hilltoppers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide