Match Info

BBL - Round 21

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Arena Ludwigsburg (Ludwigsburg)


	Ludwigsburg		Mitteldeutscher

	1	2
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.36	3.23
	1.36	3.04	Watch
	1.33	3.2
	1.39	3.09	Watch
	1.3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.32)	3.23 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ludwigsburg
70.8%

Mitteldeutscher
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludwigsburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Mitteldeutscher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludwigsburg than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ludwigsburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mitteldeutscher than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mitteldeutscher could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ludwigsburg - Mitteldeutscher Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:81

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Polas Bartolo Y.	23. Callison C.
0. Sane B.	21. Gunn R.
34. Schilling G.	44. Planinic J.
5. Skuja T.	31. Reaves S.
3. Smith S.	11. Vargas A.
Substitutes
12. Anigbata L.	20. Blomgren P.
37. Baumer J.	2. Harrison A.
39. Dongmo M.	3. Heck M.
40. Feneberg S.	9. Nikic K.
7. Hughes E.	40. Welp C.
24. Tischler B.
18. Wohlfarth-Bottermann J.
Coaches
. Riipinen M.	. Bogicevic M.

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ BBL (Play~in: ) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ludwigsburg won 2.

Ludwigsburg has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

MBC has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ludwigsburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ludwigsburg is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ludwigsburg won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1707:1572. (average 85.4:78.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ludwigsburg won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 873:780. (average 87.3:78).

Outrights of German BBL for now

Ludwigsburg: 0.82% Syntainics MBC: 0.57%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
7	Syntainics MBC	4	2	2	319:307	4
9	Ludwigsburg	4	2	2	341:354	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BG Ludwigsburg
German BBL
14.02.26	EWE Baskets Oldenburg - Ludwigsburg	102:88 ✺
07.02.26	Ludwigsburg - Brose Bamberg	74:86 ✺
31.01.26	Science City Jena - Ludwigsburg	75:84 ✺
24.01.26	Ludwigsburg - Lowen Braunschweig	86:62 ✺
17.01.26	Ludwigsburg - Baskets Bonn	85:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWWL
- Mitteldeutscher BC
German BBL
15.02.26	Mitteldeutscher - Rostock Seawolves	80:94 ✺
ENBL
11.02.26	Voluntari - Mitteldeutscher	87:83 ✺
German BBL
07.02.26	Niners Chemnitz - Mitteldeutscher	79:75 ✺
ENBL
03.02.26	Mitteldeutscher - Kapfenberg Bulls	98:89 ✺
German BBL
30.01.26	Mitteldeutscher - EWE Baskets Oldenburg	84:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German BBL
02.11.25	Mitteldeutscher - Ludwigsburg	82:93
07.05.25	Ludwigsburg - Mitteldeutscher	85:76
18.12.24	Mitteldeutscher - Ludwigsburg	76:70
German Cup Basketball
13.10.24	Ludwigsburg - Mitteldeutscher	77:85
German BBL
05.05.24	Mitteldeutscher - Ludwigsburg	91:90
17.12.23	Ludwigsburg - Mitteldeutscher	78:81
26.04.23	Ludwigsburg - Mitteldeutscher	104:100 OT

Upcoming Matches