Match Info

PORTUGAL: LPB - ROUND 10

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Lusitânia		Esgueira

	1	2
	2.05	1.67
	2.08	1.63	Watch
	2.25	1.64
	2.25	1.65
	2.2	1.62
	2.34	1.54
	2.09	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.93)	1.63 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 155.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitânia
42.8%

Esgueira
57.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.6%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Esgueira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lusitânia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esgueira than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Esgueira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Lusitânia - Esgueira Predictions

Users Predictions: Lusitânia will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:80

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lusitânia won 4.

Lusitânia has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Esgueira is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Lusitânia won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 793-774.

Including matches at home between the teams Lusitânia won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 400-419.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Lusitânia Basketball
Taca de Portugal Basketball
09.12.23	Lusitânia - Maia	76:82 ✺
Portuguese LPB
02.12.23	Benfica - Lusitânia	94:51 ✺
18.11.23	Portimonense - Lusitânia	67:64 ✺
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
11.11.23	Lusitânia - Porto	70:101 ✺
Portuguese LPB
04.11.23	Lusitânia - Povoa	73:100 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Esgueira Basket
Taca de Portugal Basketball
09.12.23	Esgueira - Vitória de Guimarães	78:66 ✺
Portuguese LPB
02.12.23	Esgueira - Sporting Lisbon	68:105 ✺
25.11.23	Ovarense - Esgueira	75:71 ✺
18.11.23	Esgueira - Galomar	84:74 ✺
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
11.11.23	Povoa - Esgueira	79:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Basketball
09.09.23	Esgueira - Lusitânia	59:63
Portuguese LPB
21.01.23	Esgueira - Lusitânia	84:92
Taca de Portugal Basketball
14.01.23	Lusitânia - Esgueira	85:73
Portuguese LPB
29.10.22	Lusitânia - Esgueira	84:88
07.03.21	Lusitânia - Esgueira	79:75
05.12.20	Esgueira - Lusitânia	65:80
28.12.19	Esgueira - Lusitânia	70:73

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Lusitânia Basketball
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
31.10.26	Lusitânia - Santo André	✺
- Esgueira Basket
Portuguese LPB
31.10.26	Esgueira - CAQ Queluz	✺

Lusitânia - Esgueira