Match Info

Taca da Liga - Group Stage

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Pavilhão Clube do Povo de Esgueira (Esgueira)


	Esgueira		Galomar

	1	2
			Watch
	1.45	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.35)	2.62 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esgueira
64.4%

Galomar
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esgueira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Galomar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esgueira than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Esgueira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Galomar than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Galomar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Esgueira - Galomar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Diggins M.	8. Carreiras J.
23. Mendes R.	27. Drumwright M.
8. Monteiro M.	14. Durr M.
15. Nwagboso K.	3. Harden-Hayes M.
32. Toney T. (C)	22. Sa N.
Substitutes
1. Alston B.	0. Davis S.
6. Alves D.	24. Diop M.
12. Andrade T.	13. Gallina J. (C)
34. Antonio Y.	12. Kennedy J.
17. Neto F.	6. Macachi B.
3. Tillman D.	21. Oliveira P.
Coaches
. Costa P.	. Manarte N.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Esgueira won 4.

Recent matches Esgueira is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Galomar has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Esgueira is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Esgueira won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 657:622 (average 73:69.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Esgueira won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 388:349 (average 77.6:69.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esgueira Basket
Portuguese LPB
12.04.25	Esgueira - Galomar	85:82 ✺
05.04.25	Esgueira - Porto	81:96 ✺
29.03.25	Imortal - Esgueira	90:87 ✺
15.03.25	Esgueira - Oliveirense	78:66 ✺
07.03.25	Benfica - Esgueira	100:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLWL
- AD Galomar
Portuguese LPB
12.04.25	Esgueira - Galomar	85:82 ✺
05.04.25	Galomar - Sporting Lisbon	82:94 ✺
29.03.25	Porto - Galomar	82:78 ✺
22.03.25	Galomar - Vitória de Guimarães	75:82 ✺
15.03.25	Galomar - Povoa	72:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese LPB
12.04.25	Esgueira - Galomar	85:82
21.12.24	Galomar - Esgueira	84:73
23.03.24	Galomar - Esgueira	68:80
18.11.23	Esgueira - Galomar	84:74
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
14.10.23	Esgueira - Galomar	87:74
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
30.04.22	Esgueira - Galomar	65:60 OT (57:57)
24.04.22	Galomar - Esgueira	60:62

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