Match Info
PORTUGAL: Proliga - Round 14Date: 11 January 2025, SaturdayLocation: Pavilhão Municipal de Angra do Heroísmo (Angra do Heroísmo)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Lusitânia |
|
Madeira |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.4 |
|
1.25 |
|
 |
3.37 |
|
1.29 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.39 ↑
(2.39) |
|
1.27 ↓
(1.47) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 148.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)
- The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Lusitânia
27.3% | Madeira
72.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lusitânia's form might have worsened.Madeira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Madeira's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+10.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lusitânia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madeira than the current prediction. (-10.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Madeira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Lusitânia - Madeira Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 70:78 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
34.  Dearman T.
| 4.  Ferreira B.
|
13.  Eyisi O.
| 10. Moreira A.
|
0. Ferreira H.
| 3. Porter M.
|
11. Leslie K.
| 1. Savarino M.
|
7. Neves J.
| |
| Substitutes |
|---|
1. Alves M.
| 11. Dias T.
|
4. Alves S.
| 00. Fernandes J. (C)
|
9. Dias A.
| 6. Goncalves A.
|
29. Fainha P.
| 28. Leite L.
|
15. Ferreira F. (C)
| 33. Oliveira J.
|
10. Freitas M.
| 21. Pimenta L.
|
2. Sampaio M.
| |
| Coaches |
|---|
. Rodrigues N.
| . Fernandes M.
|
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Lusitânia won 2. The game of competitors is shaky now. Lusitânia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. In this match Madeira is a favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Lusitânia won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 1649:1781 (average 82.5:89.1). Including matches at home between the teams Lusitânia won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 841:889 (average 84.1:88.9).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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