Match Info

Proliga - Round 10

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Pavilhão Municipal de Angra do Heroísmo (Angra do Heroísmo)


	Lusitânia		Illiabum

	1	2
	2.85	1.32
	2.91	1.3
	2.63	1.42
	3.25	1.29
	3.2	1.31
	2.9	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.8)	1.33 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 148.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lusitânia
31.1%

Illiabum
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

67.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Illiabum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illiabum than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Lusitânia - Illiabum Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lusitânia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 71:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Cipalla K.	15. Cristo R.
11. Eyisi O.	0. Ketner T.
10. Freitas M. (C)	10. Martinho J.
97. Silva S.	12. Neto H.
3. Ugwuakazi O.	3. Rayquawndis M.
Substitutes
17. Almeida B.	35. Alves D.
4. Alves S.	44. Caldeira S.
9. Dias A.	7. Costa P.
57. Mendes R.	30. Nunes F.
7. Neves J.	14. Sico M. (C)
13. Pola H.
99. Tavares D.
Coaches
. Avila J.	. Fechas C.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lusitânia won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Illiabum may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Lusitânia has had a series of home games.

In this match, Illiabum is the team to beat.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Lusitânia won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 918:915. (average 83.5:83.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Lusitânia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 453:414. (average 90.6:82.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Lusitânia Basketball
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
30.11.25	Casino Ginásio - Lusitânia	81:73 ✺
22.11.25	Lusitânia - Sampaense	87:46 ✺
15.11.25	Lusitânia - Povoa	73:88 ✺
31.10.25	Lusitânia - Maia	69:65 ✺
25.10.25	Lusitânia - Académica Coimbra	66:56 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWLWW
- Illiabum Clube
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
29.11.25	Illiabum - Académica Coimbra	90:58 ✺
22.11.25	Maia - Illiabum	71:64 ✺
15.11.25	Illiabum - Casino Ginásio	83:57 ✺
08.11.25	Sampaense - Illiabum	84:87 OT ✺
01.11.25	Illiabum - Povoa	56:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Proliga Basketball
19.10.25	Illiabum - Lusitânia	81:63
Portuguese LPB
18.12.21	Lusitânia - Illiabum	80:70
02.10.21	Illiabum - Lusitânia	83:89
15.02.20	Illiabum - Lusitânia	78:83
16.11.19	Lusitânia - Illiabum	106:79
16.02.19	Lusitânia - Illiabum	94:86 OT (76:76)
17.11.18	Illiabum - Lusitânia	85:78

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