Match Info

AdmiralBet ABA League - Round 11

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Hala sportova Ranko Žeravica (Belgrade)

Referee: Mustapic M. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium


	Mega Basket		Cedevita Olimpija

	1	2
			Watch
	3	1.35
	3.16	1.35
	2.96	1.35
	2.9	1.36
	3.19	1.36
	3.1	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (3.05)	1.35 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mega Basket
30.7%

Cedevita Olimpija
69.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

69.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mega Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Cedevita Olimpija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Mega Basket aligns with the current prediction.

The ML Model estimate for Cedevita Olimpija aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Mega Basket - Cedevita Olimpija Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mega Basket will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Cedevita Olimpija will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mega Basket (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:90

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Drezgic S.	11. Blazic J.
3. Dulovic A.	20. Cerkvenik M.
1. Luc K.	1. Gibson U.
6. Markovic B.	54. Kennedy T.
19. Suigo L.	24. Skara D.
Substitutes
35. Gacic L.	7. Brajkovic L.
8. Kroflic U.	33. Chougkaz N.
0. Milenkovic A.	17. Ciperle M.
77. Musicki A.	2. Girard III J.
11. Siby A.	4. McNair W.
23. Srzentic O.	5. Nikolic A.
7. Vukcevic M.	16. Ustun D.
Coaches
. Avdalovic V.	. Mitrovic Z.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AdmiralBet ABA League (Losers stage: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AdmiralBet ABA League (Winners stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mega Basket won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Cedevita Olimpija may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Cedevita Olimpija has had a series of home games.

In this match, Cedevita Olimpija is considered a favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Mega Basket won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1380:1435. (average 86.3:89.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Mega Basket won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 625:616. (average 89.3:88).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mega Basket
Adriatic League
12.12.25	Mega Basket - KK Zadar	90:89 ✺
06.12.25	Spartak Subotica - Mega Basket	85:73 ✺
23.11.25	Mega Basket - KK Budućnost	65:98 ✺
14.11.25	KK Zadar - Mega Basket	88:73 ✺
31.10.25	Mega Basket - Ilirija	109:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLLW
- Cedevita Olimpija
Eurocup
16.12.25	Cedevita Olimpija - Hapoel Jerusalem	81:84 ✺
Adriatic League
13.12.25	Cedevita Olimpija - Bosna	89:73 ✺
Eurocup
10.12.25	Basquet Manresa - Cedevita Olimpija	99:82 ✺
Adriatic League
07.12.25	Cedevita Olimpija - Ilirija	83:69 ✺
Eurocup
04.12.25	Cedevita Olimpija - Śląsk Wrocław	108:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Adriatic League
05.10.25	Cedevita Olimpija - Mega Basket	117:81
23.03.25	Mega Basket - Cedevita Olimpija	72:81
16.11.24	Cedevita Olimpija - Mega Basket	93:82
21.04.24	Cedevita Olimpija - Mega Basket	71:85
15.04.24	Mega Basket - Cedevita Olimpija	119:98
31.12.23	Mega Basket - Cedevita Olimpija	97:86
30.09.23	Cedevita Olimpija - Mega Basket	89:87

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