Match Info

NCAA

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday


	Mercyhurst Lakers		Fairleigh Dickinson Knights

	1	2
	1.51	2.45
	1.52	2.33
	1.54	2.51
	1.58	2.27	Watch
	1.57	2.3
	1.55	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.49)	2.39 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 132.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mercyhurst Lakers
60.7%

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mercyhurst Lakers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercyhurst Lakers than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fairleigh Dickinson Knights than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Mercyhurst Lakers - Fairleigh Dickinson Knights Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 68:64

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Preview

Recent performances by Mercyhurst have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fairleigh Dickinson's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mercyhurst will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Mercyhurst will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mercyhurst won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 251:249. (average 62.8:62.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Mercyhurst won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 132:134. (average 66:67).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mercyhurst Lakers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
28.02.26	Stonehill Skyhawks - Mercyhurst Lakers	72:75 OT ✺
26.02.26	Central Connecticut State Blue Devils - Mercyhurst Lakers	80:78 ✺
21.02.26	Mercyhurst Lakers - LIU Sharks	91:83 ✺
19.02.26	Mercyhurst Lakers - Wagner Seahawks	80:83 OT ✺
14.02.26	St. Francis PA Red Flash - Mercyhurst Lakers	79:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWLW
- Fairleigh Dickinson Knights basketball
NCAA College Basketball
28.02.26	LIU Sharks - Fairleigh Dickinson Knights	74:60 ✺
26.02.26	Le Moyne Dolphins - Fairleigh Dickinson Knights	76:59 ✺
21.02.26	Fairleigh Dickinson Knights - New Haven Chargers	77:84 ✺
19.02.26	Chicago State Cougars - Fairleigh Dickinson Knights	59:60 ✺
14.02.26	Fairleigh Dickinson Knights - Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	57:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
07.02.26	Fairleigh Dickinson Knights - Mercyhurst Lakers	55:52
02.01.26	Mercyhurst Lakers - Fairleigh Dickinson Knights	67:74
20.02.25	Mercyhurst Lakers - Fairleigh Dickinson Knights	65:60
01.02.25	Fairleigh Dickinson Knights - Mercyhurst Lakers	60:67

Mercyhurst Lakers - Fairleigh Dickinson Knights: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide