Match Info

NCAA

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Stonehill Skyhawks		Mercyhurst Lakers

	1	2
	2.15	1.67
	2.12	1.65
	2.17	1.7
	2.08	1.68	Watch
	2.2	1.67
	2.18	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.86)	1.68 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 135.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stonehill Skyhawks
43.8%

Mercyhurst Lakers
56.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.2%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stonehill Skyhawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stonehill Skyhawks's form might have worsened.

Mercyhurst Lakers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mercyhurst Lakers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stonehill Skyhawks than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stonehill Skyhawks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercyhurst Lakers than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mercyhurst Lakers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Stonehill Skyhawks - Mercyhurst Lakers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 67:70

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Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Stonehill won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 216:206. (average 72:68.7).

Including home match between the teams, Stonehill won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 85:73.

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

Stonehill: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stonehill Skyhawks basketball
NCAA College Basketball
26.02.26	Stonehill Skyhawks - St. Francis PA Red Flash	103:77 ✺
21.02.26	Stonehill Skyhawks - Le Moyne Dolphins	77:68 ✺
19.02.26	New Haven Chargers - Stonehill Skyhawks	64:51 ✺
14.02.26	Stonehill Skyhawks - Wagner Seahawks	57:68 ✺
12.02.26	Chicago State Cougars - Stonehill Skyhawks	68:55 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLLL
- Mercyhurst Lakers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
26.02.26	Central Connecticut State Blue Devils - Mercyhurst Lakers	80:78 ✺
21.02.26	Mercyhurst Lakers - LIU Sharks	91:83 ✺
19.02.26	Mercyhurst Lakers - Wagner Seahawks	80:83 OT ✺
14.02.26	St. Francis PA Red Flash - Mercyhurst Lakers	79:94 ✺
12.02.26	Le Moyne Dolphins - Mercyhurst Lakers	58:57 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
17.01.26	Mercyhurst Lakers - Stonehill Skyhawks	57:62 OT
15.02.25	Stonehill Skyhawks - Mercyhurst Lakers	85:73
03.01.25	Mercyhurst Lakers - Stonehill Skyhawks	76:69

Stonehill Skyhawks - Mercyhurst Lakers