Match Info

NCAA

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Mercyhurst Lakers		LIU Sharks

	1	2
	2.4	1.54
	2.33	1.55
	2.08	1.68	Watch
	2.4	1.53
	2.35	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.22)	1.58 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 135.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mercyhurst Lakers
40.6%

LIU Sharks
59.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mercyhurst Lakers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

LIU Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercyhurst Lakers than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LIU Sharks than the current prediction. (-2%)

Mercyhurst Lakers - LIU Sharks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 67:70

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Preview

Mercyhurst has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

LIU is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mercyhurst may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

LIU will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mercyhurst won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 221:191. (average 73.7:63.7).

Including home match between the teams, Mercyhurst won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 85:80.

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

LIU Sharks: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mercyhurst Lakers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
19.02.26	Mercyhurst Lakers - Wagner Seahawks	80:83 OT ✺
14.02.26	St. Francis PA Red Flash - Mercyhurst Lakers	79:94 ✺
12.02.26	Le Moyne Dolphins - Mercyhurst Lakers	58:57 ✺
07.02.26	Fairleigh Dickinson Knights - Mercyhurst Lakers	55:52 ✺
05.02.26	Mercyhurst Lakers - St. Francis PA Red Flash	98:89 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLW
- LIU Sharks basketball
NCAA College Basketball
19.02.26	St. Francis PA Red Flash - LIU Sharks	89:91 ✺
16.02.26	LIU Sharks - Wagner Seahawks	83:65 ✺
14.02.26	New Haven Chargers - LIU Sharks	55:52 ✺
12.02.26	Wagner Seahawks - LIU Sharks	57:67 ✺
07.02.26	LIU Sharks - Stonehill Skyhawks	61:54 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
08.01.26	LIU Sharks - Mercyhurst Lakers	60:58
26.01.25	Mercyhurst Lakers - LIU Sharks	85:80 OT
20.01.25	LIU Sharks - Mercyhurst Lakers	51:78

Mercyhurst Lakers - LIU Sharks