Match Info

NCAA

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Mercyhurst Lakers		Le Moyne Dolphins

	1	2
	1.77	2.1
	1.75	2.1
	1.7	2.08
	1.73	2.01	Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.73	2.1
	1.71	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.8)	2.1 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 142.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mercyhurst Lakers
54.8%

Le Moyne Dolphins
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mercyhurst Lakers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Le Moyne Dolphins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercyhurst Lakers than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Le Moyne Dolphins than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Mercyhurst Lakers - Le Moyne Dolphins Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 72:70

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Preview

Mercyhurst has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Le Moyne has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mercyhurst may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Le Moyne has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mercyhurst won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 145:157. (average 72.5:78.5).

Including home match between the teams, Mercyhurst won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 82:78.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mercyhurst Lakers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
02.01.26	Mercyhurst Lakers - Fairleigh Dickinson Knights	67:74 ✺
20.12.25	Mercyhurst Lakers - Binghamton Bearcats	82:61 ✺
17.12.25	Syracuse Orange - Mercyhurst Lakers	76:62 ✺
13.12.25	Davidson Wildcats - Mercyhurst Lakers	80:47 ✺
05.12.25	Lafayette Leopards - Mercyhurst Lakers	79:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LWLLL
- Le Moyne Dolphins basketball
NCAA College Basketball
02.01.26	St. Francis PA Red Flash - Le Moyne Dolphins	58:84 ✺
28.12.25	Boston College Eagles - Le Moyne Dolphins	72:64 ✺
20.12.25	St. Bonaventure Bonnies - Le Moyne Dolphins	92:81 ✺
16.12.25	Texas Longhorns - Le Moyne Dolphins	95:53 ✺
06.12.25	Binghamton Bearcats - Le Moyne Dolphins	63:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
08.02.25	Mercyhurst Lakers - Le Moyne Dolphins	82:78
12.01.25	Le Moyne Dolphins - Mercyhurst Lakers	79:63

Mercyhurst Lakers - Le Moyne Dolphins: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide