Match Info

NCAA

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday


	Merrimack Warriors		Siena Saints

	1	2
	1.72	2.05
	1.7	2.05
	1.8	2.07
	1.78	1.95	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.69	2.09
	1.59	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.59)	2.05 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 125.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merrimack Warriors
54.4%

Siena Saints
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merrimack Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Siena Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merrimack Warriors than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Merrimack Warriors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siena Saints than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Siena Saints could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Merrimack Warriors - Siena Saints Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 65:62

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Preview

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Siena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Siena has had a series of home games.

Merrimack will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Merrimack won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 206:189. (average 68.7:63).

Including home matches between the teams, Merrimack won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 143:130. (average 71.5:65).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merrimack Warriors basketball
NCAA College Basketball
08.03.26	Merrimack Warriors - Marist Red Foxes	58:57 ✺
06.03.26	Merrimack Warriors - Sacred Heart Pioneers	70:48 ✺
01.03.26	Niagara Purple Eagles - Merrimack Warriors	66:73 ✺
27.02.26	Canisius Golden Griffins - Merrimack Warriors	67:62 ✺
22.02.26	Merrimack Warriors - Iona Gaels	88:86 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLW
- Siena Saints basketball
NCAA College Basketball
08.03.26	Siena Saints - Fairfield Stags	76:61 ✺
07.03.26	Siena Saints - Mount St. Marys Mountaineers	63:58 ✺
01.03.26	Siena Saints - Rider Broncs	76:61 ✺
27.02.26	Fairfield Stags - Siena Saints	72:58 ✺
22.02.26	Siena Saints - St. Peters Peacocks	72:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
20.02.26	Merrimack Warriors - Siena Saints	79:72 OT
09.01.26	Siena Saints - Merrimack Warriors	59:63
18.01.25	Merrimack Warriors - Siena Saints	64:58

Merrimack Warriors - Siena Saints: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide