Match Info

NCAA

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday


	Merrimack Warriors		Sacred Heart Pioneers

	1	2
	1.27	3.65
	1.27	3.5
	1.33	3.47
	1.3	3.24	Watch
	1.26	3.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.34)	3.52 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 141.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Merrimack Warriors
73.2%

Sacred Heart Pioneers
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.6%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Merrimack Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Sacred Heart Pioneers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merrimack Warriors than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Merrimack Warriors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacred Heart Pioneers than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sacred Heart Pioneers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Merrimack Warriors - Sacred Heart Pioneers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:68

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Merrimack won 4.

Merrimack is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sacred Heart has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Merrimack may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Merrimack is seen as the favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Merrimack won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1144:1049. (average 71.5:65.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Merrimack won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 711:648. (average 71.1:64.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Merrimack Warriors basketball
NCAA College Basketball
01.03.26	Niagara Purple Eagles - Merrimack Warriors	66:73 ✺
27.02.26	Canisius Golden Griffins - Merrimack Warriors	67:62 ✺
22.02.26	Merrimack Warriors - Iona Gaels	88:86 OT ✺
20.02.26	Merrimack Warriors - Siena Saints	79:72 OT ✺
15.02.26	Quinnipiac Bobcats - Merrimack Warriors	49:56 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWWW
- Sacred Heart Pioneers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
05.03.26	Iona Gaels - Sacred Heart Pioneers	80:91 ✺
27.02.26	Sacred Heart Pioneers - Mount St. Marys Mountaineers	77:69 ✺
22.02.26	Marist Red Foxes - Sacred Heart Pioneers	65:63 ✺
20.02.26	Fairfield Stags - Sacred Heart Pioneers	78:68 ✺
15.02.26	Sacred Heart Pioneers - Rider Broncs	86:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
01.02.26	Merrimack Warriors - Sacred Heart Pioneers	75:58
29.12.25	Sacred Heart Pioneers - Merrimack Warriors	72:80
12.03.25	Merrimack Warriors - Sacred Heart Pioneers	66:62 OT
21.02.25	Merrimack Warriors - Sacred Heart Pioneers	59:60
10.01.25	Sacred Heart Pioneers - Merrimack Warriors	65:66
02.03.24	Sacred Heart Pioneers - Merrimack Warriors	89:85
06.01.24	Merrimack Warriors - Sacred Heart Pioneers	82:58

Merrimack Warriors - Sacred Heart Pioneers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide