Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Winners stage - Final

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Servet Tazegül Spor Salonu (Mersin) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Portugal	17:00	Sport TV4


	Mersin SK		Le Mans

	1	2
	1.59	2.22	Watch
	1.65	2.12
	1.69	2.07	Watch
	1.62	2.1
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.58)	2.15 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mersin SK
56.7%

Le Mans
43.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.4%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mersin SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mersin SK than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Mersin SK - Le Mans Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Mersin will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Le Mans will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Mans: 73.9% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Mersin (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Le Mans (votes: 7 - 63.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5, OT - Le Mans (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Mersin (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Le Mans (votes: 8 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Chassang A.	34. DiLeo D.
1. Cobbs J.	1. Grasshoff B.
9. Cruz Saldivar F. J. (C)	12. Hudgins T.
4. March R.	3. Williams T.
14. White J.	15. Yeguete W. (C)
Substitutes
11. Alyanak A.	8. Berhanemeskel J.
5. Apaydin L. H.	5. Bogues S.
6. Cekici K.	10. Doumbia U.
7. Cowan Jr. A.	32. Dufeal L.
19. Livaneli K.	4. Penda S.
0. Olaseni G.	35. Thomas T.
10. Tirpanci E. E.
Coaches
. Balkanli A.	. Vizade G.

Preview

1st leg.

In recent matches, Mersin has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Le Mans is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mersin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mersin could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mersin SK
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
04.01.26	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Mersin SK	93:80 ✺
27.12.25	Mersin SK - Merkezefendi	110:92 ✺
21.12.25	Bursaspor - Mersin SK	99:88 ✺
Champions League Basketball
17.12.25	Mersin SK - Oostende	84:76 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
14.12.25	Mersin SK - Esenler Erokspor	83:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLWL
- Le Mans Sarthe Basket
French LNB
26.12.25	Le Mans - Saint-Quentin	90:74 ✺
23.12.25	Limoges - Le Mans	83:110 ✺
20.12.25	Le Mans - Gravelines	87:66 ✺
Champions League Basketball
16.12.25	Le Mans - Spartak Subotica	76:61 ✺
French LNB
12.12.25	Nanterre - Le Mans	98:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mersin SK
Turkish TBL
31.10.26	Mersin SK - TED Ankara Kolejliler	✺
- Le Mans Sarthe Basket
Eurocup
04.11.26	Rīgas Zeļļi - Le Mans	✺
French LNB
31.10.26	Le Mans - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	✺

Mersin SK - Le Mans