Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - First round - Round 1

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday

Location: Gimnasio Marcelino Gonzalez (Zacatecas)


	Mexico		Dominican Republic

	1	2
	2.6	1.45
	2.5	1.43
	2.38	1.52
	1.65	2.04	Watch
	2.73	1.43
	2.65	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (1.65)	1.55 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 157.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mexico
39.1%

Dominican Republic
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mexico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mexico's form might have worsened.

Dominican Republic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dominican Republic's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Mexico - Dominican Republic Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mexico will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Dominican Rep will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dominican Rep (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Avila J. El Calor de Cancun	27. Duarte C. Unicaja
9. Cruz P.	10. Feliz A. Real Madrid
10. Giron G. Halcones de Xalapa	23. Figueora LJ.
3. Jaimes F. Soles	1. Nunez A. Slask Wroclaw
4. Stoll P. Halcones de Xalapa	22. Soriano J. Zaragoza
Substitutes
11. Alvarez V.	30. Araujo J. Broncos
7. Andriassi M. Astros de Jalisco	6. Bautista R.
2. Bonilla G. Angeles CDMX	21. Garcia A.
15. Camacho J. Halcones de Xalapa	35. Guerrero J.
25. Israel-Gutierrez J. Halcones de Xalapa	3. Montero J. Valencia
18. Rivera B. Mineros de Zacatecas	24. Perez J. Estela
0. Rodriguez K. Astros de Jalisco	51. Silverio O. Estudiantes
Coaches
. Quintero O.	. Garcia N.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mexico won 2.

Dominican Rep will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mexico won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 735:761. (average 73.5:76.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mexico basketball
AmeriCup Basketball
24.02.25	Mexico - Canada	98:94 ✺
21.02.25	Mexico - Nicaragua	107:57 ✺
24.11.24	Canada - Mexico	83:73 ✺
21.11.24	Nicaragua - Mexico	77:86 ✺
Olympic Games - Basketball
06.07.24	Puerto Rico - Mexico	98:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLWL
- Dominican Republic basketball
AmeriCup Basketball
28.08.25	Dominican Republic - Brazil	82:94 ✺
25.08.25	Dominican Republic - Nicaragua	74:70 ✺
24.08.25	Argentina - Dominican Republic	83:84 OT ✺
22.08.25	Dominican Republic - Colombia	84:59 ✺
24.02.25	Dominican Republic - Nicaragua	84:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

AmeriCup Basketball
26.02.24	Mexico - Dominican Republic	80:73 OT
23.02.24	Dominican Republic - Mexico	84:70
Central American and Caribbean Games Basketball
05.07.23	Dominican Republic - Mexico	89:72
Pan American Games Basketball
31.07.19	Mexico - Dominican Republic	61:65 OT (55:55)
Central American and Caribbean Games Basketball
30.07.18	Dominican Republic - Mexico	69:72
Centrobasket Championship
22.06.16	Mexico - Dominican Republic	69:82
AmeriCup Basketball
31.08.15	Dominican Republic - Mexico	66:84

Mexico - Dominican Republic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide