Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - First round - Round 5

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday

Location: Gimnasio Marcelino Gonzalez (Zacatecas)


	Mexico		Nicaragua

	1	2
			Watch
	1.00	17.00
	1.02	11	Watch
			Watch
	1.01	11
			Watch
	1.01	16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.01 ↑ (1)	13.75 ↓ (17)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-34)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mexico
93.2%

Nicaragua
6.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

94.4%

5.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mexico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Nicaragua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Mexico - Nicaragua Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Mexico will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Nicaragua will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 100:66

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Avila J. Astros de Jalisco	28. Andrews T.
2. Bonilla G.	42. Gutierrez K. Costa Caribe
9. Cruz P.	2. Myers K.
10. Giron G. Toros Laguna	5. Watson D.
3. Jaimes F. Zonkeys de Tijuana	1. West J.
Substitutes
11. Alvarez V. Astros de Jalisco	35. Batista W.
7. Andriassi M. Astros de Jalisco	3. Ewing E. Defensor
25. Gutierrez J. Astros de Jalisco	29. Garth F. Real Esteli
6. Martinez B.	17. Herrera J. Brumas Jinotega
0. Rodriguez K. Astros de Jalisco	22. Peralta I.
1. Sanchez M.	24. Ruiz J. Indios de Mayaguez
4. Stoll P. Astros de Jalisco	10. Serrano L.
Coaches
. Quintero O.

Preview

In this match, Mexico is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mexico won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 446:349. (average 89.2:69.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mexico basketball
World Championship Basketball
01.03.26	USA - Mexico	123:88 ✺
26.02.26	Nicaragua - Mexico	72:99 ✺
01.12.25	Dominican Republic - Mexico	88:89 ✺
28.11.25	Mexico - Dominican Republic	85:92 ✺
AmeriCup Basketball
24.02.25	Mexico - Canada	98:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWWLW
- Nicaragua basketball
World Championship Basketball
01.03.26	Nicaragua - Dominican Republic	61:86 ✺
26.02.26	Nicaragua - Mexico	72:99 ✺
01.12.25	USA - Nicaragua	123:93 ✺
28.11.25	Nicaragua - USA	67:102 ✺
AmeriCup Basketball
25.08.25	Dominican Republic - Nicaragua	74:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Basketball
26.02.26	Nicaragua - Mexico	72:99
AmeriCup Basketball
21.02.25	Mexico - Nicaragua	107:57
21.11.24	Nicaragua - Mexico	77:86
Central American and Caribbean Games Basketball
04.07.23	Mexico - Nicaragua	83:69
COCABA Championship
20.09.15	Nicaragua - Mexico	74:71

Mexico - Nicaragua: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide