Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - First round - Round 3

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Polideportivo Alexis Argüello (Managua)


	Nicaragua		Mexico

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Nicaragua
8.1%

Mexico
91.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

13.1%

86.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicaragua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Mexico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -19.5, OT - Mexico (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mexico (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 70:94

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Starting Lineups
35. Campbell J. Real Esteli	31. Avila J. Astros de Jalisco
3. Ewing E. Defensor	9. Cruz P.
4. Parham T.	10. Giron G. Toros Laguna
11. Perez A. Real Esteli	3. Jaimes F. Soles
24. Ruiz J. Paisas	4. Stoll P. Astros de Jalisco
Substitutes
22. Batista W.	14. Alvarez V. Astros de Jalisco
34. Ferguson P. Real Esteli	44. Amigo D. Astros de Jalisco
29. Garth F. Real Esteli	7. Andriassi M. Astros de Jalisco
42. Gutierrez K. Costa Caribe	2. Bonilla G.
17. Herrera J. Brumas Jinotega	15. Camacho J. Halcones de Xalapa
2. Hodgson A.	25. Gutierrez J. Astros de Jalisco
8. Sierra R.	0. Rodriguez K. Astros de Jalisco

In this match, Mexico is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nicaragua won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 277:347. (average 69.3:86.8).

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicaragua basketball
World Championship Basketball
01.12.25	USA - Nicaragua	123:93 ✺
28.11.25	Nicaragua - USA	67:102 ✺
AmeriCup Basketball
25.08.25	Dominican Republic - Nicaragua	74:70 ✺
24.08.25	Colombia - Nicaragua	89:86 ✺
22.08.25	Nicaragua - Argentina	70:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Mexico basketball
World Championship Basketball
01.12.25	Dominican Republic - Mexico	88:89 ✺
28.11.25	Mexico - Dominican Republic	85:92 ✺
AmeriCup Basketball
24.02.25	Mexico - Canada	98:94 ✺
21.02.25	Mexico - Nicaragua	107:57 ✺
24.11.24	Canada - Mexico	83:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLWWL

AmeriCup Basketball
21.02.25	Mexico - Nicaragua	107:57
21.11.24	Nicaragua - Mexico	77:86
Central American and Caribbean Games Basketball
04.07.23	Mexico - Nicaragua	83:69
COCABA Championship
20.09.15	Nicaragua - Mexico	74:71

Nicaragua - Mexico: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide