Match Info

NBA

Date: 30 March 2026, Monday

Location: Kaseya Center (Miami, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Germany	Sky Sport Top Event
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event
World	NBA Global League Pass


	Miami Heat		Philadelphia 76ers

	1	2
	2.1	1.77	Watch
	2.08	1.75
	2.2	1.75
	2.18	1.75	Watch
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.2	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.93)	1.75 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 244.00

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Miami Heat
45%

Philadelphia 76ers
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miami Heat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Philadelphia 76ers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miami Heat, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia 76ers than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Philadelphia 76ers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	0%	46.2%

Miami Heat - Philadelphia 76ers Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Miami: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Miami (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 246.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 59.5, 3Q - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
9. Larsson P.	8. George P.
22. Wiggins A.	25. Barlow D.
13. Adebayo B.	21. Embiid J.
14. Herro T.	77. Edgecombe Jr. V.
45. Mitchell D.	0. Maxey T.
Substitutes
0. Fontecchio S.	16. Beauchamp M.
15. Gardner M.	30. Bona Adem
50. Goldin V.	1. Drummond A.
25. Jakucionis K.	11. Edwards J.
11. Jaquez Jr. J.	5. Grimes Q.
16. Johnson K.	7. Lowry K.
5. Jovic N.	9. Oubre K. J.
3. Keels T.	20. Payne C.
12. Smith D.	33. Walker J.
7. Ware K.	12. Watford T.
Coaches
. Spoelstra E.	. Nurse N.

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 4.

Miami has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Philadelphia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Philadelphia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Miami has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Miami: Rozier T. (Suspended)

There will not play in Philadelphia: Broome J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Miami: Powell N. (Back Injury)

There are questionable in Philadelphia: Oubre K. J. (Elbow Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 2143:2047. (average 107.2:102.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 782:723. (average 111.7:103.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Miami Heat - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 49.91%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miami Heat
NBA
29.03.26	Indiana Pacers - Miami Heat	135:118 ✺
27.03.26	Cleveland Cavaliers - Miami Heat	149:128 ✺
25.03.26	Cleveland Cavaliers - Miami Heat	103:120 ✺
23.03.26	Miami Heat - San Antonio Spurs	111:136 ✺
21.03.26	Houston Rockets - Miami Heat	123:122 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWLL
- Philadelphia 76ers
NBA
28.03.26	Charlotte Hornets - Philadelphia 76ers	114:118 ✺
25.03.26	Philadelphia 76ers - Chicago Bulls	157:137 ✺
23.03.26	Philadelphia 76ers - Oklahoma City Thunder	103:123 ✺
21.03.26	Utah Jazz - Philadelphia 76ers	116:126 ✺
19.03.26	Sacramento Kings - Philadelphia 76ers	118:139 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NBA
26.02.26	Philadelphia 76ers - Miami Heat	124:117
23.11.25	Philadelphia 76ers - Miami Heat	117:127
07.04.25	Miami Heat - Philadelphia 76ers	117:105
29.03.25	Philadelphia 76ers - Miami Heat	95:118
05.02.25	Philadelphia 76ers - Miami Heat	101:108
18.11.24	Miami Heat - Philadelphia 76ers	106:89
17.04.24	Philadelphia 76ers - Miami Heat	105:104

Upcoming Matches