Match Info

Champions League Americas - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Arena Minas Tenis Clube (Belo Horizonte)


	Minas		Franca

	1	2
	1.63	2.15	Watch
	1.58	2.15	Watch
	1.69	2.09
	1.57	2.22	Watch
	1.64	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.64)	2.15 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minas
57%

Franca
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Franca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minas than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Franca than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Minas - Franca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Arengo J.	14. De Paula G.
1. McCree E.	9. Dias L.
10. Rodriguez L.	6. Felicio C.
15. Silva W.	32. Jackson D.
0. Williams J.	10. Laterza J.
Substitutes
2. Fernando	3. Bennett C.
5. Fischer R.	13. Colinski L.
55. Frazier T.	34. dos Santos V.
9. Fuzaro D.	12. Mineiro R.
24. Paranhos A.	15. Rodriguez L.
23. Rafael Rachel	58. Zu Junior
27. Yuri E.
Coaches
. Costa L.	. Garcia H.

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minas won 1.

Recent performances by Minas have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Franca is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Minas won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1642:1717. (average 82.1:85.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Minas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 746:734. (average 82.9:81.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minas Basketball
Brazilian NBB
22.02.26	Paulistano - Minas	104:83 ✺
19.02.26	Minas - Rio Claro	98:95 OT ✺
17.02.26	Minas - Brasília Basquete	92:91 ✺
12.02.26	Franca - Minas	100:82 ✺
10.02.26	Bauru - Minas	105:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWWLL
- Franca Basquetebol
Brazilian NBB
22.02.26	Vasco da Gama - Franca	80:85 ✺
19.02.26	Flamengo - Franca	91:89 ✺
17.02.26	Botafogo - Franca	66:88 ✺
14.02.26	Franca - Cruzeiro	95:67 ✺
12.02.26	Franca - Minas	100:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
12.02.26	Franca - Minas	100:82
04.11.25	Minas - Franca	86:70
18.06.25	Franca - Minas	86:73
14.06.25	Minas - Franca	73:83
12.06.25	Minas - Franca	78:94
07.06.25	Franca - Minas	65:69
29.12.24	Minas - Franca	92:73

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