Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday


	Missouri State Bears		Evansville Purple Aces

	1	2
	1.5	2.65
	1.47	2.58
	1.47	2.76
	1.52	2.47	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.58	2.47
	1.47	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.55)	2.57 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 132.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Missouri State Bears
63.1%

Evansville Purple Aces
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Missouri State Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Evansville Purple Aces has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Missouri State Bears than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evansville Purple Aces than the current prediction. (+4%)

Missouri State Bears - Evansville Purple Aces Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 68:64

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Missouri State won 4.

Missouri State is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Evansville is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Missouri State will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Missouri State won 12 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 1360:1316 (average 68:65.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Missouri State won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 562:502 (average 70.3:62.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Missouri State Bears basketball
NCAA College Basketball
08.02.25	Belmont Bruins - Missouri State Bears	85:68 ✺
05.02.25	Missouri State Bears - Northern Iowa Panthers	61:66 ✺
01.02.25	Missouri State Bears - Murray State Racers	77:56 ✺
29.01.25	Indiana State Sycamores - Missouri State Bears	72:67 ✺
25.01.25	Missouri State Bears - Drake Bulldogs	62:69 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLL
- Evansville Purple Aces basketball
NCAA College Basketball
08.02.25	Evansville Purple Aces - Bradley Braves	74:80 ✺
05.02.25	Evansville Purple Aces - Southern Illinois Salukis	59:68 ✺
02.02.25	Belmont Bruins - Evansville Purple Aces	75:80 ✺
29.01.25	Evansville Purple Aces - Murray State Racers	78:74 ✺
25.01.25	Valparaiso Beacons - Evansville Purple Aces	68:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
29.12.24	Evansville Purple Aces - Missouri State Bears	57:40
13.01.24	Evansville Purple Aces - Missouri State Bears	64:74
29.11.23	Missouri State Bears - Evansville Purple Aces	90:78
12.02.23	Evansville Purple Aces - Missouri State Bears	60:66
04.01.23	Missouri State Bears - Evansville Purple Aces	85:62
26.02.22	Evansville Purple Aces - Missouri State Bears	79:88
29.01.22	Missouri State Bears - Evansville Purple Aces	72:58

Missouri State Bears - Evansville Purple Aces: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide