Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday


	Missouri State Bears		Murray State Racers

	1	2
	2.35	1.63
	2.35	1.62
	2.28	1.58	Watch
	2.23	1.69
	2.28	1.59	Watch
	2.3	1.57
	2.33	1.65
	2.28	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.23)	1.61 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 131.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Missouri State Bears
41.2%

Murray State Racers
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Missouri State Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Murray State Racers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Missouri State Bears than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murray State Racers than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Missouri State Bears - Murray State Racers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 65:68

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Missouri State won 2.

Missouri State has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Murray State is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Missouri State won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 540:549 (average 67.5:68.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Missouri State won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 271:281 (average 67.8:70.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Missouri State Bears basketball
NCAA College Basketball
29.01.25	Indiana State Sycamores - Missouri State Bears	72:67 ✺
25.01.25	Missouri State Bears - Drake Bulldogs	62:69 OT ✺
21.01.25	Northern Iowa Panthers - Missouri State Bears	79:68 ✺
18.01.25	Illinois State Redbirds - Missouri State Bears	74:68 ✺
15.01.25	Missouri State Bears - Southern Illinois Salukis	51:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Murray State Racers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
29.01.25	Evansville Purple Aces - Murray State Racers	78:74 ✺
25.01.25	Murray State Racers - Belmont Bruins	77:95 ✺
22.01.25	Southern Illinois Salukis - Murray State Racers	64:74 ✺
18.01.25	Murray State Racers - Bradley Braves	61:74 ✺
15.01.25	Illinois-Chicago Flames - Murray State Racers	97:93 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
07.03.24	Murray State Racers - Missouri State Bears	35:60
14.02.24	Murray State Racers - Missouri State Bears	82:72
10.01.24	Missouri State Bears - Murray State Racers	53:77
21.02.23	Missouri State Bears - Murray State Racers	84:69
28.01.23	Murray State Racers - Missouri State Bears	74:71
03.12.19	Missouri State Bears - Murray State Racers	71:69
24.11.18	Murray State Racers - Missouri State Bears	77:66

Missouri State Bears - Murray State Racers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide