Match Info

NCAA

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday


	Evansville Purple Aces		Southern Illinois Salukis

	1	2
	4.2	1.22
	4.1	1.2
	4.09	1.26
	3.6	1.25	Watch
	4.2	1.22
	4.27	1.21
	2.4	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (2.22)	1.28 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 138.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Evansville Purple Aces
25%

Southern Illinois Salukis
75%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Evansville Purple Aces has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Evansville Purple Aces's form might have worsened.

Southern Illinois Salukis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Southern Illinois Salukis's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evansville Purple Aces than the current prediction. (+22%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Evansville Purple Aces, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southern Illinois Salukis than the current prediction. (-22%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Southern Illinois Salukis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Evansville Purple Aces - Southern Illinois Salukis Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Evansville will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Southern Illinois will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Evansville (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 65:74

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Evansville won 2.

Evansville is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Southern Illinois's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Evansville may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Southern Illinois is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Evansville won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1356:1369. (average 67.8:68.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Evansville won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 587:617. (average 65.2:68.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Evansville Purple Aces - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.27%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Evansville Purple Aces basketball
NCAA College Basketball
28.02.26	Evansville Purple Aces - Valparaiso Beacons	80:79 ✺
25.02.26	Belmont Bruins - Evansville Purple Aces	98:64 ✺
21.02.26	Murray State Racers - Evansville Purple Aces	88:73 ✺
18.02.26	Evansville Purple Aces - Illinois-Chicago Flames	46:84 ✺
12.02.26	Southern Illinois Salukis - Evansville Purple Aces	86:60 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLLL
- Southern Illinois Salukis basketball
NCAA College Basketball
25.02.26	Southern Illinois Salukis - Indiana State Sycamores	66:55 ✺
21.02.26	Northern Iowa Panthers - Southern Illinois Salukis	57:59 ✺
18.02.26	Drake Bulldogs - Southern Illinois Salukis	61:66 ✺
15.02.26	Southern Illinois Salukis - Bradley Braves	60:70 ✺
12.02.26	Southern Illinois Salukis - Evansville Purple Aces	86:60 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
12.02.26	Southern Illinois Salukis - Evansville Purple Aces	86:60
05.02.25	Evansville Purple Aces - Southern Illinois Salukis	59:68
01.01.25	Southern Illinois Salukis - Evansville Purple Aces	53:68
25.02.24	Evansville Purple Aces - Southern Illinois Salukis	53:65
17.01.23	Southern Illinois Salukis - Evansville Purple Aces	70:77
30.11.22	Evansville Purple Aces - Southern Illinois Salukis	53:80
12.02.22	Southern Illinois Salukis - Evansville Purple Aces	69:62

Evansville Purple Aces - Southern Illinois Salukis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide