Match Info

BBL - Round 29

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday

Location: Stadthalle Weissenfels (Weissenfels)


	Mitteldeutscher		BCJ Hamburg

	1	2
	1.46	2.5	Watch
	1.47	2.55	Watch
	1.47	2.76
	1.52	2.47	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.49	2.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.71)	2.58 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mitteldeutscher
63.5%

BCJ Hamburg
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mitteldeutscher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mitteldeutscher's performance.

BCJ Hamburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and BCJ Hamburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mitteldeutscher than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mitteldeutscher that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BCJ Hamburg than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that BCJ Hamburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mitteldeutscher - BCJ Hamburg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. MBC (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Mitteldeutscher will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Callison C.	25. Ogbe K.
42. Djurisic N.	3. Rich O.
44. Planinic J.	44. Turudic B.
31. Reaves S.	34. Williams R.
0. Thomas K.	17. Wimberg N.
Substitutes
5. Foster M.	21. Daniels D.
21. Gunn R.	27. Gamble Jr. K.
3. Heck M.	8. Grey J.
9. Nikic K.	5. Maronka Z.
6. Siegert M.	6. Muller J.
11. Vargas A.	52. Perrin Z.
40. Welp C.	2. Thorpe L. J.
Coaches
. Bogicevic M.	. Barloschky B.

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MBC won 3.

Now, both teams are in good form.

MBC will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, MBC won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1146:1145. (average 88.2:88.1).

Including home matches between the teams, MBC won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 549:515. (average 91.5:85.8).

Outrights of German BBL for now

Syntainics MBC: 0.67%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
7	Syntainics MBC	5	3	2	404:381	6
15	Hamburg	4	1	3	324:352	2

Last Results with these Odds

Mitteldeutscher - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 54.89%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mitteldeutscher BC
German BBL
04.04.26	Mitteldeutscher - Bayern München	91:79 ✺
01.04.26	Ratiopharm Ulm - Mitteldeutscher	104:81 ✺
28.03.26	Mitteldeutscher - Rasta Vechta	90:82 ✺
ENBL
25.03.26	Mitteldeutscher - Donar Groningen	80:73 ✺
German BBL
21.03.26	Science City Jena - Mitteldeutscher	84:108 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WLWWW
- BCJ Hamburg
German BBL
05.04.26	BCJ Hamburg - Skyliners Frankfurt	97:75 ✺
01.04.26	EWE Baskets Oldenburg - BCJ Hamburg	77:96 ✺
29.03.26	BCJ Hamburg - Bayern München	96:81 ✺
26.03.26	Science City Jena - BCJ Hamburg	106:95 ✺
22.03.26	BCJ Hamburg - Trier	90:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

German BBL
28.09.25	BCJ Hamburg - Mitteldeutscher	85:93
03.05.25	Mitteldeutscher - BCJ Hamburg	102:81
26.10.24	BCJ Hamburg - Mitteldeutscher	75:96
27.03.24	BCJ Hamburg - Mitteldeutscher	107:76
02.12.23	Mitteldeutscher - BCJ Hamburg	81:86
22.04.23	Mitteldeutscher - BCJ Hamburg	123:80
01.10.22	BCJ Hamburg - Mitteldeutscher	91:74

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