Match Info

NBB - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 April 2026, Monday

Location: Ginasio Prof. Hugo Ramos (Mogi das Cruzes)


	Mogi		São José dos Campos

	1	2
	1.42	2.7	Watch
	1.4	2.6
	1.43	2.81
	1.46	2.55	Watch
	1.44	2.7
	1.43	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.43)	2.66 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 153.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mogi
65.1%

São José dos Campos
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mogi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

São José dos Campos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mogi than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São José dos Campos than the current prediction. (+3%)

Mogi - São José dos Campos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:75

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Paulo	33. Miller M.
7. Barbosa A.	0. Dos Santos D.
50. Andre D.	16. Rodrigues A.
11. Hinkle C.	32. Lessa G.
4. Ruivo F.	4. Borges A.
Substitutes
0. Barry	88. Badu
5. Caldeira	50. Borges I.
6. Chagas V.	9. Cravero L.
2. Gabriel	8. Freitas C.
12. Johnson D.	12. Nickel J.
31. Maicon	10. Pessoa G.
14. Menca	35. Tavares M.
Coaches
. Penna F.	. Ahmed C.

Preview

Mogi leads series 2-0. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mogi won 4.

Mogi is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

São José's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Mogi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Mogi will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Mogi won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1414:1363. (average 83.2:80.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Mogi won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 766:710. (average 85.1:78.9).

Last Results with these Odds

São José dos Campos - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.74%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mogi das Cruzes Basquete
Brazilian NBB
25.04.26	Mogi - São José dos Campos	79:75 ✺
22.04.26	São José dos Campos - Mogi	70:75 ✺
17.04.26	Mogi - Osasco	73:76 ✺
15.04.26	Mogi - Paulistano	84:70 ✺
10.04.26	União Corinthians - Mogi	82:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLWW
- São José dos Campos Basketball
Brazilian NBB
25.04.26	Mogi - São José dos Campos	79:75 ✺
22.04.26	São José dos Campos - Mogi	70:75 ✺
17.04.26	União Corinthians - São José dos Campos	97:88 ✺
15.04.26	Caxias do Sul - São José dos Campos	65:68 ✺
10.04.26	São José dos Campos - Pinheiros	76:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
25.04.26	Mogi - São José dos Campos	79:75
22.04.26	São José dos Campos - Mogi	70:75
22.02.26	Mogi - São José dos Campos	78:68
19.12.25	São José dos Campos - Mogi	79:61
04.02.25	Mogi - São José dos Campos	97:93 OT
15.11.24	São José dos Campos - Mogi	89:79
09.03.24	Mogi - São José dos Campos	79:64

Mogi - São José dos Campos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide