Match Info

NCAA

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Montana State Bobcats		Montana Grizzlies

	1	2
	1.4	3.05
	1.43	2.67	Watch
	1.4	2.95
	1.41	2.87
	1.4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.37)	2.91 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 150.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montana State Bobcats
67.4%

Montana Grizzlies
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montana State Bobcats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Montana Grizzlies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montana State Bobcats than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Montana State Bobcats that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montana Grizzlies than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montana Grizzlies could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Montana State Bobcats - Montana Grizzlies Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:72

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montana State won 1.

Montana State is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Montana has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Montana State is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montana State won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1371:1474. (average 68.6:73.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Montana State won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 634:661. (average 70.4:73.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montana State Bobcats basketball
NCAA College Basketball
10.01.26	Idaho Vandals - Montana State Bobcats	92:89 ✺
08.01.26	Eastern Washington Eagles - Montana State Bobcats	64:68 ✺
03.01.26	Montana State Bobcats - Northern Arizona Lumberjacks	77:68 ✺
01.01.26	Montana State Bobcats - Northern Colorado Bears	89:75 ✺
16.12.25	Cal Poly Mustangs - Montana State Bobcats	80:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWWW
- Montana Grizzlies basketball
NCAA College Basketball
10.01.26	Eastern Washington Eagles - Montana Grizzlies	66:65 ✺
08.01.26	Idaho Vandals - Montana Grizzlies	73:79 ✺
03.01.26	Montana Grizzlies - Northern Colorado Bears	88:79 ✺
01.01.26	Montana Grizzlies - Northern Arizona Lumberjacks	78:64 ✺
20.12.25	Louisville Cardinals - Montana Grizzlies	94:54 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
22.02.25	Montana State Bobcats - Montana Grizzlies	85:89
25.01.25	Montana Grizzlies - Montana State Bobcats	77:70
13.03.24	Montana Grizzlies - Montana State Bobcats	70:85
17.02.24	Montana Grizzlies - Montana State Bobcats	88:69
20.01.24	Montana State Bobcats - Montana Grizzlies	77:87
18.02.23	Montana State Bobcats - Montana Grizzlies	72:68
21.01.23	Montana Grizzlies - Montana State Bobcats	64:67

Montana State Bobcats - Montana Grizzlies: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide