Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 7 March 2024, Thursday


	Murray State Racers		Missouri State Bears

	1	2
	1.67	2.25
	1.7	2.2
	1.65	2.25	Watch
	1.68	2.25
	1.68	2.25
	1.67	2.1
	1.73	2.18
	1.66	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.72)	2.2 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 139.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murray State Racers
56.7%

Missouri State Bears
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murray State Racers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Missouri State Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murray State Racers than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Missouri State Bears than the current prediction. (+1%)

Murray State Racers - Missouri State Bears Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 72:69

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Murray State won 3.

Murray State is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Missouri State is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Murray State won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 580-543.

Including matches at home between the teams Murray State won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 233-209.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Murray State Racers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
03.03.24	Indiana State Sycamores - Murray State Racers	89:77 ✺
28.02.24	Murray State Racers - Belmont Bruins	61:83 ✺
24.02.24	Murray State Racers - Valparaiso Beacons	80:68 ✺
21.02.24	Southern Illinois Salukis - Murray State Racers	72:68 ✺
18.02.24	Drake Bulldogs - Murray State Racers	95:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL
- Missouri State Bears basketball
NCAA College Basketball
03.03.24	Missouri State Bears - Illinois-Chicago Flames	69:59 ✺
28.02.24	Illinois State Redbirds - Missouri State Bears	75:74 ✺
24.02.24	Belmont Bruins - Missouri State Bears	93:78 ✺
21.02.24	Missouri State Bears - Bradley Braves	62:86 ✺
17.02.24	Missouri State Bears - Valparaiso Beacons	82:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
14.02.24	Murray State Racers - Missouri State Bears	82:72
10.01.24	Missouri State Bears - Murray State Racers	53:77
21.02.23	Missouri State Bears - Murray State Racers	84:69
28.01.23	Murray State Racers - Missouri State Bears	74:71
03.12.19	Missouri State Bears - Murray State Racers	71:69
24.11.18	Murray State Racers - Missouri State Bears	77:66
CIT
19.03.14	Missouri State Bears - Murray State Racers	63:66

Murray State Racers - Missouri State Bears: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide