Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 6 March 2025, Thursday


	Illinois State Redbirds		Missouri State Bears

	1	2
	1.41	3
	1.44	2.85
	1.38	2.92
	1.4	3.08
	1.39	2.96	Watch
	1.4	3.05
	1.42	2.99
	1.38	2.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.41)	2.97 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 133.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Network on TV: Chicago Sports Network

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Current Win Probability

Illinois State Redbirds
67.9%

Missouri State Bears
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illinois State Redbirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Missouri State Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illinois State Redbirds than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Missouri State Bears than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Illinois State Redbirds - Missouri State Bears Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 70:64

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Illinois State won 5.

Recent matches Illinois State is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Missouri State has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Illinois State will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Illinois State to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Illinois State won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 1399:1381 (average 70:69.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Illinois State won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 848:809 (average 70.7:67.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Illinois State Redbirds basketball
NCAA College Basketball
02.03.25	Illinois State Redbirds - Evansville Purple Aces	62:53 ✺
25.02.25	Southern Illinois Salukis - Illinois State Redbirds	88:79 ✺
22.02.25	Missouri State Bears - Illinois State Redbirds	68:70 ✺
19.02.25	Illinois State Redbirds - Bradley Braves	82:71 ✺
15.02.25	Indiana State Sycamores - Illinois State Redbirds	85:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWWL
- Missouri State Bears basketball
NCAA College Basketball
02.03.25	Drake Bulldogs - Missouri State Bears	68:60 OT ✺
26.02.25	Missouri State Bears - Belmont Bruins	65:74 ✺
22.02.25	Missouri State Bears - Illinois State Redbirds	68:70 ✺
19.02.25	Valparaiso Beacons - Missouri State Bears	66:64 ✺
16.02.25	Illinois-Chicago Flames - Missouri State Bears	63:58 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
22.02.25	Missouri State Bears - Illinois State Redbirds	68:70
18.01.25	Illinois State Redbirds - Missouri State Bears	74:68
28.02.24	Illinois State Redbirds - Missouri State Bears	75:74
20.01.24	Missouri State Bears - Illinois State Redbirds	60:69
11.01.23	Illinois State Redbirds - Missouri State Bears	76:66 OT
19.01.22	Missouri State Bears - Illinois State Redbirds	88:63
01.12.21	Illinois State Redbirds - Missouri State Bears	79:74 OT (64:64)

Illinois State Redbirds - Missouri State Bears: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide