The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nagasaki Velca 30.7%
Gunma Crane Thunders 69.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.8%
59.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.1%
53.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nagasaki Velca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nagasaki Velca's form might have worsened.
Gunma Crane Thunders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gunma Crane Thunders's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagasaki Velca than the current prediction. (+15.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nagasaki Velca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gunma Crane Thunders than the current prediction. (-15.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gunma Crane Thunders, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Nagasaki Velca - Gunma Crane Thunders Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Nagasaki will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Gunma will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:79
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Aguilar P.
8. Blackshear K.
18. Baba Y.
15. Edu A.
7. Brantley J.
29. Hosokawa K.
11. Kumagai K.
4. Jones T.
20. Randolph L.
6. Nakamura T.
Substitutes
13. Hoshikawa K.
16. Asano K.
1. Matsumoto K. (C)
1. Flippin K.
9. Morikawa M.
0. Fujii Y.
10. Nagano I.
55. Taniguchi D.
15. Platt S.
9. Tsuji N. (C)
14. Takahira K.
28. Tsurumaki K.
32. Tanaka L.
77. Tsuchiya A.
Coaches
. Vickerman D.
. Milling K.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagasaki won 3.
Recent results have been tough for Nagasaki (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Gunma is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Nagasaki could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Gunma has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Gunma is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Our forecast points to a victory for Gunma in today's match, at odds of 1.52.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Nagasaki has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 469:482 (averaging 78.2:80.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Nagasaki against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 145:176 goals (averaging 72.5:88 per game).
Watch
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Aguilar P. 
Blackshear K. 
Baba Y. 
Edu A. 
Vickerman D. 
Milling K. 
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