Match Info

ITALY: Lega A - Round 12

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday

Location: PalaBarbuto (Naples)

Referee: Mazzoni M. (Ita)


	Napoli Basket		Scafati

	1	2
			Watch
	1.44	2.65
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.38	3.02
	1.44	2.81
	1.4	3.05
	1.42	2.9	Watch
	1.4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.7)	2.92 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 174.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napoli Basket
67.4%

Scafati
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napoli Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Napoli Basket's performance.

Scafati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Scafati might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli Basket than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Napoli Basket that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scafati than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Scafati could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Napoli Basket - Scafati Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Woldetensae T.	30. Stewart E.
1. Zubcic T.	12. Pinkins K.
50. Bentil B.	32. Jovanovic N.
32. Green E.	2. Gray R.
4. Pangos K.	20. Cinciarini A.
Substitutes
5. De Nicolao G.	7. Anim S.
44. Mabor Dut Biar A.	10. Greco G.
14. Newman M.	11. Miaschi F.
0. Pullen J.	3. Sangiovanni P.
11. Saccoccia S.	9. Sorokas P.
35. Tote L.	8. Ulaneo S.
3. Treier K.	6. Zanelli A.
Coaches
. Valli G.	. Pilot D.

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Napoli Basket won 3.

Napoli Basket has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Scafati is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Napoli Basket could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Napoli Basket will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Napoli Basket won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 779:809 (average 77.9:80.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Napoli Basket won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 396:374 (average 79.2:74.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Napoli Basket
Italian Lega A Basketball
15.12.24	Basket Brescia - Napoli Basket	97:84 ✺
08.12.24	Napoli Basket - Reggiana	76:84 ✺
01.12.24	Basket Trento - Napoli Basket	90:83 ✺
17.11.24	Napoli Basket - Treviso Basket	69:84 ✺
10.11.24	Trapani - Napoli Basket	95:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Scafati Basket
Italian Lega A Basketball
14.12.24	Scafati - Pistoia Basket	107:102 OT ✺
08.12.24	Scafati - Basket Trento	110:119 ✺
01.12.24	Reggiana - Scafati	90:57 ✺
16.11.24	Scafati - Varese	94:85 ✺
10.11.24	Treviso Basket - Scafati	104:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
05.05.24	Napoli Basket - Scafati	102:92
17.12.23	Scafati - Napoli Basket	91:85
05.02.23	Napoli Basket - Scafati	71:69
02.01.23	Scafati - Napoli Basket	96:61
Italian Serie A2 Red Basketball
14.03.21	Napoli Basket - Scafati	78:68
03.01.21	Scafati - Napoli Basket	78:90
Italian LNP Gold Basketball
10.01.20	Napoli Basket - Scafati	75:68 OT (63:63)

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