Match Info

Lega A - Round 11

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: PalaBarbuto (Naples)

Referee: Dionisi A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	LBA TV
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2


	Napoli Basket		Vanoli-Braga Cremona

	1	2
			Watch
	1.34	3.15
	1.36	3.1
	1.36	3.04
	1.33	3.25
	1.4	3.06	Watch
	1.32	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.5)	3.13 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Napoli Basket
69.8%

Vanoli-Braga Cremona
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Napoli Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Napoli Basket's performance.

Vanoli-Braga Cremona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vanoli-Braga Cremona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Napoli Basket than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Napoli Basket that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vanoli-Braga Cremona than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vanoli-Braga Cremona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Napoli Basket - Vanoli Braga Cremona Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cremona (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
45. Bolton R.	0. Anigbogu I.
8. Croswell E.	7. Casarin D.
1. Flagg S.	46. Ndiaye O.
3. Mitrou-Long N.	16. Veronesi G.
25. Simms A.	2. Willis P.
Substitutes
30. Caruso G.	23. Burns C.
5. El Amin I.	42. Durham A.
10. Faggian L.	12. Galli F.
22. Gentile S.	8. Grant S.
14. Gloria M.	3. Jones T.
11. Saccoccia S.
18. Treier K.
Coaches
. Magro A.	. Brotto P.

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Napoli Basket won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Napoli Basket is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Napoli Basket won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 513:525. (average 85.5:87.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Napoli Basket won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 252:245. (average 84:81.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Napoli Basket
Italian Lega A Basketball
07.12.25	Udine - Napoli Basket	78:71 ✺
23.11.25	Napoli Basket - Dinamo Sassari	86:75 ✺
16.11.25	Napoli Basket - Basket Brescia	72:85 ✺
09.11.25	Basket Trento - Napoli Basket	87:93 ✺
05.11.25	Napoli Basket - Trapani	90:97 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWLWL
- Vanoli-Braga Cremona
Italian Lega A Basketball
08.12.25	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Varese	79:87 ✺
21.11.25	Basket Brescia - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	83:72 ✺
15.11.25	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Trieste	113:94 ✺
09.11.25	Trapani - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	96:90 ✺
06.11.25	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Basket Trento	92:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
08.03.25	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Napoli Basket	94:85
19.10.24	Napoli Basket - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	81:87
11.02.24	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Napoli Basket	90:83
26.11.23	Napoli Basket - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	80:70
09.03.22	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Napoli Basket	96:93 OT (86:86)
05.12.21	Napoli Basket - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	91:88

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