Match Info

NKL

Date: 6 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Klaipėdos KKRC (Klaipeda)


	Neptūnas-Akvaservis		Olimpas Palanga

	1	2
	1.5	2.35
	1.55	2.31
	1.56	2.24	Watch
	1.57	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.36)	2.29 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neptūnas-Akvaservis
59.7%

Olimpas Palanga
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neptūnas-Akvaservis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Neptūnas-Akvaservis's form might have worsened.

Olimpas Palanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olimpas Palanga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neptūnas-Akvaservis than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Neptūnas-Akvaservis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpas Palanga than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olimpas Palanga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Neptūnas Akvaservis - Olimpas Palanga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Jonkus E. (C)	11. Bruzas E.
77. Lesciauskas K.	3. Danisevicius P. (C)
16. Macijauskas M.	34. Narvilas M.
13. Maciulis R.	12. Pabrieza N.
24. Metrikis K.	40. Udras A.
Substitutes
1. Erlickis A.	9. Agajev D.
28. Remeikis D.	1. Glover J.
11. Rinkevicius T.	13. Mikalauskas L.
12. Sakaitis R.	22. Runkauskas M.
7. Sarakauskas S.	17. Sadauskas J.
31. Zilius E.	5. Stasys M.
10. Zymantas A.	91. Zabitis J.
Coaches
. Gaidamavicius T.	. Kubilius E.

Preview

Neptūnas-Akvaservis has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Olimpas is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Neptūnas-Akvaservis could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Neptūnas-Akvaservis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 146:148. (average 73:74).

Including home match between the teams, Neptūnas-Akvaservis won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 78:83.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Klaipėdos Neptūnas-Akvaservis
Lietuvos NKL
30.10.25	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Rytas 2	76:66 ✺
27.10.25	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Telšiai	62:81 ✺
23.10.25	Mažeikiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	92:61 ✺
18.10.25	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	87:75 ✺
11.10.25	Vilniaus Stekas - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	70:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLLW
- Olimpas Palanga
Lietuvos NKL
30.10.25	Olimpas Palanga - Perlas Vilkaviškis	90:82 ✺
25.10.25	Olimpas Palanga - Kėdainiai	79:104 ✺
23.10.25	Alytaus Alytus - Olimpas Palanga	98:72 ✺
18.10.25	Olimpas Palanga - Vytis Šakiai	83:85 ✺
16.10.25	Sūduva - Olimpas Palanga	89:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
09.01.25	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Olimpas Palanga	78:83
10.10.24	Olimpas Palanga - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	65:68

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