Match Info

NKL

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Klaipėdos KKRC (Klaipeda)


	Neptūnas-Akvaservis		Rytas 2

	1	2
			Watch
	2.7	1.38
	2.51	1.45	Watch
	2.44	1.44
	2.65	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.25)	1.43 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neptūnas-Akvaservis
35.6%

Rytas 2
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neptūnas-Akvaservis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Neptūnas-Akvaservis's form might have worsened.

Rytas 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rytas 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neptūnas-Akvaservis than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Neptūnas-Akvaservis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rytas 2 than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rytas 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Neptūnas Akvaservis - Rytas 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Jonkus E. (C)	14. Bubnys G.
77. Lesciauskas K.	13. Kasparas D.
16. Macijauskas M.	22. Krizanauskas G.
13. Maciulis R.	5. Liutkevicius M.
24. Metrikis K.	16. Urbonas I. (C)
Substitutes
28. Remeikis D.	34. Adomaitis V.
12. Sakaitis R.	8. Jokubauskas G.
7. Sarakauskas S.	2. Pocius A.
31. Zilius E.	23. Sirgedas E.
10. Zymantas A.	9. Snitka K.
	27. Vilkas A.
	10. Vilutis A.
Coaches
. Gaidamavicius T.	. Kadziulis G.

Preview

Recent form of Neptūnas-Akvaservis has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rytas 2 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rytas 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rytas 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Neptūnas-Akvaservis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 223:214. (average 74.3:71.3).

Including home match between the teams, Neptūnas-Akvaservis won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 61:65.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Klaipėdos Neptūnas-Akvaservis
Lietuvos NKL
27.10.25	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Telšiai	62:81 ✺
23.10.25	Mažeikiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	92:61 ✺
18.10.25	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	87:75 ✺
11.10.25	Vilniaus Stekas - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	70:91 ✺
09.10.25	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Perlas Vilkaviškis	81:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLWL
- Rytas 2
Lietuvos NKL
25.10.25	Šilutė - Rytas 2	88:76 ✺
23.10.25	Rytas 2 - Jurbarkas-Karys	98:53 ✺
19.10.25	Rytas 2 - Kėdainiai	90:93 ✺
16.10.25	Alytaus Alytus - Rytas 2	76:77 ✺
11.10.25	Rytas 2 - Vytis Šakiai	76:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
11.02.25	Rytas 2 - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	90:81
25.01.25	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Rytas 2	61:65
03.10.24	Rytas 2 - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	59:81

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