Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - First round - Round 5

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Topsportcentrum Almere (Almere) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Denmark	19:30	DAZN
Finland	20:30	DAZN
Sweden	19:30	DAZN


	Netherlands		Latvia

	1	2
	3.25	1.30	Watch
	3.00	1.36
	3.10	1.33	Watch
	3.12	1.31
	3.03	1.34	Watch
	3.05	1.29
	3.03	1.36
	3.40	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.4)	1.33 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Netherlands
29.9%

Latvia
70.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.5%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Netherlands has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Netherlands's form might have worsened.

Latvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Latvia's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Netherlands - Latvia Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Netherlands will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Latvia will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Netherlands: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:85

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Koehler T. Den Bosch	3. Blumbergs R. Petkim Spor
99. Kuta N. Orleans	19. Lomazs R. Neptunas
1. Van Der Vuurst K. Buyukcekmece	28. Steinbergs M. Manresa
7. Ververs M. Limburg	12. Strautins A. Derthona Tortona
32. Zuidema K. Donar Groningen	55. Zagars A. Fenerbahce
Substitutes
6. Hollanders S. Alicante	18. Cavars K. Sabah Baku
38. Huurman S. Leiden	35. Kilps K. VEF Riga
22. Kruithof L. Leiden	25. Laksa M. Krosno
33. Pikaar M.	44. Leimanis T. KR Basket Reykjavik
10. Ugbo E.	37. Silins K. Neptunas
8. Van Overbeek R. BAL Weert	33. Skuja T. Ludwigsburg
5. Williams L. Zwolle (Landstede Hammers)	11. Smits R. Anadolu Efes
Coaches
. Roijakkers J.	. Gailitis J.

Preview

Netherlands may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Latvia is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Netherlands won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 167:164. (average 55.7:54.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Netherlands basketball
Friendly International Basketball
23.06.26	China - Netherlands	65:60 ✺
22.06.26	Australia - Netherlands	78:69 ✺
World Championship Basketball
01.03.26	Netherlands - Austria	87:88 ✺
27.02.26	Austria - Netherlands	71:81 ✺
01.12.25	Netherlands - Poland	83:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL
- Latvia basketball
Friendly International Basketball
28.06.26	Latvia - Georgia	77:87 ✺
World Championship Basketball
01.03.26	Poland - Latvia	92:72 ✺
27.02.26	Latvia - Poland	82:84 ✺
01.12.25	Austria - Latvia	68:86 ✺
28.11.25	Latvia - Netherlands	78:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Basketball
28.11.25	Latvia - Netherlands	78:86
EuroBasket
05.09.12	Netherlands - Latvia	81:86
21.08.12	Latvia - Netherlands	N/A

Netherlands - Latvia