Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - First round - Round 3

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Xiaomi Arena (Riga)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	TVP Sport


	Latvia		Poland

	1	2
	1.95	1.74	Watch
	1.97	1.78	Watch
	2.01	1.75
	2.03	1.75	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	2.05	1.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.67)	1.75 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Latvia
46.7%

Poland
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Latvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Latvia's form might have worsened.

Poland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Poland's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Latvia - Poland Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Latvia will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Poland will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Latvia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Latvia (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Latvia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Kilps K. VEF Riga	12. Gielo T. King Wilki Morskie Szczecin
19. Lomazs R. Neptunas	8. Loyd J. Anadolu Efes
37. Silins K. Neptunas	17. Olejniczak D. Derthona Tortona
28. Steinbergs M. Manresa	9. Ponitka M. Bahcesehir Koleji
66. Zoriks K. Udine	3. Sokolowski M. Karsiyaka Basket
Substitutes
3. Blumbergs R. Petkim Spor	30. Garbacz J. Arka Gdynia
18. Cavars K. Sabah Baku	15. Laczynski K. Arka Gdynia
47. Kurucs A. Rio Breogan	0. Pluta A. SK Legia Warszawa
44. Leimanis T. KR Basket Reykjavik	7. Urbaniak J. Slask Wroclaw
5. Mejeris M. Ostrow Wielkopolski	44. Witlinski M. Trefl Sopot
33. Skuja T. Ludwigsburg	28. Zolnierewicz P. King Wilki Morskie Szczecin
12. Strautins A. Derthona Tortona	1. Zyskowski J. Arka Gdynia
Coaches
. Alonso S.	. Milicic I.

Preview

Latvia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Latvia: Porzingis K. (Illness)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Latvia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 391:382. (average 78.2:76.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Latvia basketball
World Championship Basketball
01.12.25	Austria - Latvia	68:86 ✺
28.11.25	Latvia - Netherlands	78:86 ✺
EuroBasket
06.09.25	Lithuania - Latvia	88:79 ✺
03.09.25	Czech Republic - Latvia	75:109 ✺
01.09.25	Portugal - Latvia	62:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLWW
- Poland basketball
World Championship Basketball
01.12.25	Netherlands - Poland	83:85 ✺
28.11.25	Poland - Austria	90:78 ✺
EuroBasket
09.09.25	Turkey - Poland	91:77 ✺
07.09.25	Poland - Bosnia and Herzegovina	80:72 ✺
04.09.25	Poland - Belgium	69:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Basketball
18.06.21	Poland - Latvia	75:73 OT (68:68)
11.08.17	Latvia - Poland	77:65
05.08.17	Latvia - Poland	76:80
DBB Supercup
23.08.15	Poland - Latvia	80:81
Friendly International Basketball
07.08.15	Latvia - Poland	84:82

Latvia - Poland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide