Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - First round - Round 4

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Polsat Plus Arena Gdynia (Gdynia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	TVP Sport


	Poland		Latvia

	1	2
	1.36	2.9	Watch
	1.38	2.9	Watch
	1.35	2.92
	1.43	2.74	Watch
	1.36	2.9
	1.43	2.73
	1.28	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.28)	2.91 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poland
68%

Latvia
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.1%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Latvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Poland - Latvia Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Poland will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Latvia will win (votes: 8 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Latvia: 55.2% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5, OT - Latvia (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Latvia will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Latvia (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
15. Laczynski K. Arka Gdynia	19. Lomazs R. Neptunas
8. Loyd J. Anadolu Efes	37. Silins K. Neptunas
17. Olejniczak D. Derthona Tortona	28. Steinbergs M. Manresa
9. Ponitka M. Bahcesehir Koleji	12. Strautins A. Derthona Tortona
3. Sokolowski M. Karsiyaka Basket	66. Zoriks K. Udine
Substitutes
30. Garbacz J. Arka Gdynia	3. Blumbergs R. Petkim Spor
12. Gielo T. King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	18. Cavars K. Sabah Baku
0. Pluta A. SK Legia Warszawa	35. Kilps K. VEF Riga
7. Urbaniak J. Slask Wroclaw	47. Kurucs A. Rio Breogan
44. Witlinski M. Trefl Sopot	44. Leimanis T. KR Basket Reykjavik
28. Zolnierewicz P. King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	5. Mejeris M. Ostrow Wielkopolski
1. Zyskowski J. Arka Gdynia	33. Skuja T. Ludwigsburg
Coaches
. Milicic I.	. Alonso S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Poland won 3.

In this match, Poland is the team to beat.

There will not play in Latvia: Porzingis K. (Illness)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Poland won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 466:473. (average 77.7:78.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poland basketball
World Championship Basketball
27.02.26	Latvia - Poland	82:84 ✺
01.12.25	Netherlands - Poland	83:85 ✺
28.11.25	Poland - Austria	90:78 ✺
EuroBasket
09.09.25	Turkey - Poland	91:77 ✺
07.09.25	Poland - Bosnia and Herzegovina	80:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLW
- Latvia basketball
World Championship Basketball
27.02.26	Latvia - Poland	82:84 ✺
01.12.25	Austria - Latvia	68:86 ✺
28.11.25	Latvia - Netherlands	78:86 ✺
EuroBasket
06.09.25	Lithuania - Latvia	88:79 ✺
03.09.25	Czech Republic - Latvia	75:109 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Basketball
27.02.26	Latvia - Poland	82:84
Friendly International Basketball
18.06.21	Poland - Latvia	75:73 OT (68:68)
11.08.17	Latvia - Poland	77:65
05.08.17	Latvia - Poland	76:80
DBB Supercup
23.08.15	Poland - Latvia	80:81
Friendly International Basketball
07.08.15	Latvia - Poland	84:82

Poland - Latvia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide