Match Info

NCAA

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Nevada Wolf Pack		Utah State Aggies

	1	2
	3	1.37
	2.75	1.4
	2.55	1.46	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.75	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.48)	1.41 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 147.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nevada Wolf Pack
33.5%

Utah State Aggies
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

63.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nevada Wolf Pack has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Utah State Aggies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nevada Wolf Pack than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utah State Aggies than the current prediction. (-5%)

Nevada Wolf Pack - Utah State Aggies Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 72:77

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nevada won 1.

Nevada has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Utah State is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Nevada may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Utah State is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Utah State will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nevada won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1468:1465. (average 73.4:73.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Nevada won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 586:526. (average 73.3:65.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nevada Wolf Pack basketball
NCAA College Basketball
17.02.26	San Jose State Spartans - Nevada Wolf Pack	87:71 ✺
14.02.26	San Diego State Aztecs - Nevada Wolf Pack	71:57 ✺
07.02.26	Nevada Wolf Pack - Fresno State Bulldogs	69:59 ✺
03.02.26	Boise State Broncos - Nevada Wolf Pack	91:87 OT ✺
30.01.26	Nevada Wolf Pack - UNLV Rebels	89:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLW
- Utah State Aggies basketball
NCAA College Basketball
18.02.26	Utah State Aggies - Boise State Broncos	75:56 ✺
14.02.26	Utah State Aggies - Memphis Tigers	99:75 ✺
10.02.26	Utah State Aggies - Fresno State Bulldogs	91:78 ✺
07.02.26	Wyoming Cowboys - Utah State Aggies	83:85 ✺
04.02.26	New Mexico Lobos - Utah State Aggies	66:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
14.01.26	Utah State Aggies - Nevada Wolf Pack	71:62
22.01.25	Utah State Aggies - Nevada Wolf Pack	90:69
31.12.24	Nevada Wolf Pack - Utah State Aggies	64:69
06.02.24	Utah State Aggies - Nevada Wolf Pack	63:77
18.02.23	Utah State Aggies - Nevada Wolf Pack	75:66
13.01.23	Nevada Wolf Pack - Utah State Aggies	85:70
11.02.22	Utah State Aggies - Nevada Wolf Pack	72:85

Nevada Wolf Pack - Utah State Aggies: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide