Match Info
NCAADate: 4 February 2026, Wednesday
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New Mexico Lobos |
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Utah State Aggies |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.83 |
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2 |
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1.75 |
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1.98 |
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1.83 |
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2.02 |
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1.78 |
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1.95 |
Watch |
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1.8 |
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2 |
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1.73 |
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2 |
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1.8 |
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2.05 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.79 ↑ (1.7) |
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2 ↑ (1.97) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 154.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
New Mexico Lobos 52.8% | Utah State Aggies 47.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New Mexico Lobos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Utah State Aggies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico Lobos than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utah State Aggies than the current prediction. (+2%)New Mexico Lobos - Utah State Aggies Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.5, OT - New Mexico (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. New Mexico (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:76 
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 3.New Mexico is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).Utah State has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Utah State may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New Mexico won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1461:1549. (average 73.1:77.5).Including home matches between the teams, New Mexico won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 726:738. (average 72.6:73.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| NCAA College Basketball | | | 16.02.25 | New Mexico Lobos - Utah State Aggies | 82:79 | | 01.02.25 | Utah State Aggies - New Mexico Lobos | 63:82 | | 09.03.24 | Utah State Aggies - New Mexico Lobos | 87:85 | | 16.01.24 | New Mexico Lobos - Utah State Aggies | 99:86 | | 09.03.23 | Utah State Aggies - New Mexico Lobos | 91:76 | | 01.02.23 | Utah State Aggies - New Mexico Lobos | 84:73 | | 22.02.22 | Utah State Aggies - New Mexico Lobos | 81:56 |
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